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#31
08-31-2007, 02:56 PM
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Re: Friday NCAAF picks
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] From my point of view you are better off taking the -3.5 for -110 on this game. [/ QUOTE ] c'mon guys, preseason is over. [/ QUOTE ] [/ QUOTE ] Just based on casual observations over the years & no real empirical evidence...but isn't the .5 much less likely to bite you in the ass in ncaa than the nfl? 
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#32
08-31-2007, 02:58 PM
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Re: Friday NCAAF picks
pokerstars is fine. $50 even money no vig either side.
me: Wash U -3 +100 you: Syracuse +3 +100 please confirm our proposition in the public thread and have payout settled by midnight EST tonight (you can copy this reply into the forum if you want). - p yep this is cool with me. however i am going to the lakehouse tonight to watch the game with a buncha friends of mine and it doesnt have wireless internet. but i will pay saturday before 4:30 pm. if thats ok with you
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#33
08-31-2007, 02:59 PM
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Re: Friday NCAAF picks
[ QUOTE ]
Just based on casual observations over the years & no real empirical evidence...but isn't the .5 much less likely to bite you in the ass in ncaa than the nfl? [/ QUOTE ] less likely...yes. "much" less likely...no.
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#34
08-31-2007, 03:01 PM
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Re: Friday NCAAF picks
[ QUOTE ]
betonline has -3 -110 matchbook had -3 -115 but i think its gone now my only bet for the night unless bodog puts up some nice props [/ QUOTE ] I'm only on Bodog and WSEX. Are those U.S. friendly sites? What sites are worth it for an American casual line shopper to invest money on?
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#35
08-31-2007, 03:02 PM
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Re: Friday NCAAF picks
[ QUOTE ]
pokerstars is fine. $50 even money no vig either side. me: Wash U -3 +100 you: Syracuse +3 +100 please confirm our proposition in the public thread and have payout settled by midnight EST tonight (you can copy this reply into the forum if you want). - p yep this is cool with me. however i am going to the lakehouse tonight to watch the game with a buncha friends of mine and it doesnt have wireless internet. but i will pay saturday before 4:30 pm. if thats ok with you [/ QUOTE ] confirmed. best of luck to both of us.
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#36
08-31-2007, 03:04 PM
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Re: Friday NCAAF picks
matchbook is US and is from the same people as WSEX so you get free account transfers between the two. just have to email them.
betonline is US friendly, been around for a while now got A- on SBR dunno about which books are the best, i just have money in all the top ones on SBR and use sbrlines to find the best one
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#38
08-31-2007, 03:19 PM
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Re: Friday NCAAF picks
it's worth less in NCAAF, but not that much less
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#39
08-31-2007, 03:19 PM
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Re: Friday NCAAF picks
As Mac pointed it I was under the same understanding that the half a point is less likely to effect you in NCAAF comapred to NFL. Also that the NCAAF less often hits the -3 line comapred to NFL.
My analysis involves a probability distribution for each point and in rare cases the 3 point line turns out to be one of the lowest likely outcomes. I understand that there is added value in the fact that in one instance you have the ability to push and in the other you do not. Thank you very much for your response and I just want to be clear I do not have an ego on these things and agree that objectivity outweighs opinion.
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#40
08-31-2007, 03:28 PM
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Re: Friday NCAAF picks
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] betonline has -3 -110 matchbook had -3 -115 but i think its gone now my only bet for the night unless bodog puts up some nice props [/ QUOTE ] I'm only on Bodog and WSEX. Are those U.S. friendly sites? What sites are worth it for an American casual line shopper to invest money on? [/ QUOTE ] IMO, you should have accounts at pretty much everything on the first page of SBRLines line movements well...Pinny is non-US, but the rest are good bookmaker, thegreek, matchbook, betJamaica, WSEX, 5dimes, betonline, legendz, bodog plus it makes line shopping easy
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