#1
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On buying accounts and equity
I posted this on the tournament (HS MTT) forum with no luck.
Probably somebody would be interested in this forum. Lets suppose you have an average stack on the Sunday Million with 18 people left, and you're a winner player, lets say 50% ROI. A break even player (0% ROI) is the chip leader, with about 1/4 of the chips in play. Now a good player, lets say one with a 100% ROI buys the account of the mediocre break even player and starts playing the last 2 tables. Using numbers from the last Sunday million 1st $185,760 2nd $96,755 3rd $69,628 9th $8,009 10-18th $5,942 How this transaction affects your equity? How much money do you lose because of the transaction? |
#2
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Re: On buying accounts and equity
ok. let's start off with a few unrealistic assumptions:
1. let's simplify some of the numbers: payouts are 200k, 100k, 70k, 50k, 40k, 30k, 20k, 12k, 8k, and 9 spots at 6k each. 2. the 18 players have equal chips 3. 17 people average 50% ROI and one person averaged 0% ROI and now is someone who averages 100% ROI 4. There are exactly 2000 entrants for 500+30 and 200 pay the results should be nearly obvious because of the oversimplification, but i think the scratch work below is correct in case you want to loosen the assumptions (ie make the field more diverse...) this is the pre-deal equity for a random 50% ROI player with these assumptions: 584k*[(1.5)(530)-E(416k/182))/(584k/18+530)]/ [17*((1.5)(530)-E(416k/182))/(584k/18+530))+(1)(530)-F(416k/182))/(584k/18+530)] where E and F are the expressions = (1+ROI)(Buyin)/(TotalPrizePool/entrants + Buyin) your new equity is: 584k*[(1.5)(530)-E(416k/182))/(584k/18+530)]/ [17*((1.5)(530)-E(416k/182))/(584k/18+530))+(2)(530)-F(416k/182))/(584k/18+530)] which simplifies to: pre-deal: 33,056.70 postdeal: 31,854.30 |
#3
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Re: On buying accounts and equity
I posted your answer on the MTT Community, hopefully it generates some discussion.
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