Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > Other Topics > Politics
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 08-28-2007, 10:30 PM
Tornado69 Tornado69 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Vancouver BC
Posts: 807
Default If people smartened up, got out of debt, US go belly up ?

If people stopped boring $ and knew how evil credit was, would the US go belly up and crash or would they be able to inflate $ and get out of it ?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 08-28-2007, 11:37 PM
Josem Josem is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Victoria, Australia
Posts: 4,780
Default Re: If people smartened up, got out of debt, US go belly up ?

your question is predicated on a series of false assumptions and blatant faslehoods.

the idea that borrowing money is evil is a massively silly idea.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 08-28-2007, 11:56 PM
AzDesertRat AzDesertRat is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Arizona
Posts: 498
Default Re: If people smartened up, got out of debt, US go belly up ?

if people paid off their debts and started saving, you would get to a point where the return on savings will be near zero while the cost of the borrowing money will go down to the point where it is almost free.

Now, who can resist free money. [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 08-29-2007, 12:18 AM
Copernicus Copernicus is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 6,912
Default Re: If people smartened up, got out of debt, US go belly up ?

[ QUOTE ]
if people paid off their debts and started saving, you would get to a point where the return on savings will be near zero while the cost of the borrowing money will go down to the point where it is almost free.

Now, who can resist free money. [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

define "almost". Lending will always charge an inflation risk premium, there will always be a default risk premium (except for "riskless assets" = short term Treasuries) and there will always be time preference. There is a floor on how low lending rates can be, no matter how much money there is available to lend.

What will happen is a "flight to quality" as rates do get low enough that it is difficult to justify the small risk differentials. That would bid up the prices on Treasuries and begin to make riskier investments more attractive, especially after Treasuries auctions sell out. An equilibrium will be reached for corporate and personal lending that is significantly higher than "free money"
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 08-29-2007, 12:52 AM
tolbiny tolbiny is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Posts: 7,347
Default Re: If people smartened up, got out of debt, US go belly up ?

[ QUOTE ]
If people stopped boring $ and knew how evil credit was, would the US go belly up and crash or would they be able to inflate $ and get out of it ?

[/ QUOTE ]

People are correct to borrow money under an inflationary policy. It is far better to be a debtor than a creditor under such a system.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 08-29-2007, 02:14 AM
PLOlover PLOlover is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 3,465
Default Re: If people smartened up, got out of debt, US go belly up ?

[ QUOTE ]
if people paid off their debts and started saving, you would get to a point where the return on savings will be near zero while the cost of the borrowing money will go down to the point where it is almost free.

Now, who can resist free money.

[/ QUOTE ]

japan had negative interest rates for a while, alhtough I don't think to consumers, just to big banks or corps.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 08-29-2007, 05:41 AM
Copernicus Copernicus is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 6,912
Default Re: If people smartened up, got out of debt, US go belly up ?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
if people paid off their debts and started saving, you would get to a point where the return on savings will be near zero while the cost of the borrowing money will go down to the point where it is almost free.

Now, who can resist free money.

[/ QUOTE ]

japan had negative interest rates for a while, alhtough I don't think to consumers, just to big banks or corps.

[/ QUOTE ]

negative interest rates in Japan were actually exchange rate arbitrage between the Japanese yen, which was being supported by the government, and other currencies that were allowed to float.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 08-29-2007, 07:55 AM
AlexM AlexM is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Imaginationland
Posts: 5,200
Default Re: If people smartened up, got out of debt, US go belly up ?

Neither. The rich would get less rich though, and so would politicians.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 08-29-2007, 07:21 PM
PLOlover PLOlover is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 3,465
Default Re: If people smartened up, got out of debt, US go belly up ?

[ QUOTE ]
negative interest rates in Japan were actually exchange rate arbitrage between the Japanese yen, which was being supported by the government, and other currencies that were allowed to float.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't think so, I think it was the japanese central bank discount rate, but I could be wrong.

yep it looks like i was wrong, looks like it was the fed funds equivalent.

http://www.abc.net.au/pm/content/2003/s893425.htm
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:00 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.