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#15
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We're getting 2:1 on a call here, thus we need 33% equity vs villain's range to make a call correct. We almost have enough equity to call even if villain has a big hand here every time:
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt 12,870 games 0.016 secs 804,375 games/sec Board: 2c Qh Kh Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 29.138% 07.11% 22.03% 915 2835.00 { AhKs } Hand 1: 70.862% 48.83% 22.03% 6285 2835.00 { QQ+, AKs, AKo } So we need at least 4% more equity to call. If we add a FD and an OESD to his range we get: Text results appended to pokerstove.txt 14,850 games 0.016 secs 928,125 games/sec Board: 2c Qh Kh Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 34.485% 15.39% 19.09% 2286 2835.00 { AhKs } Hand 1: 65.515% 46.42% 19.09% 6894 2835.00 { QQ+, AKs, JcTc, 7h6h, AKo } This gives us enough equity to make a call correct. The draws represent 2/15 hand combos, or ~13% of his range in this example. What this means is if you think villain has a draw/air 13% or more of the time, then you should call. I think this is reasonable given it's CO vs BTN situation. |
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