NL200 QQ reraised pot

[ItsTime4Nutz]

Villain is 36/1.6/1.5 60 hands

river instafold?

Absolute Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

Button ($363.36)
Hero ($366.55)
BB ($189.39)
UTG ($333.95)
MP ($81.95)
CO ($420.15)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to $8</font>, Button calls $8, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $32</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO folds, Button calls $24.

Flop: ($74) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $40</font>, Button calls $40.

Turn: ($154) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets $55</font>, Hero calls $55.

River: ($264) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets $155</font>, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $419

[Fat Nicky]

nh

[dawade]

Considering the only real hands we beat are like 88-TT, I'm going to say this is a pretty standard laydown.

[sh58]

reads again please...

i'm assuming he is a bit of a donk for calling the squeeze. with that assumption i bet the turn and try and get it in. as played i probably fold the river

[ItsTime4Nutz]

I have only his PT stats, his PFR range seems to be very tight, so he can also have there AA &amp; KK .
So i am beating QJ+ until the river, maybe he has pp
like 88-99, but i dont see him betting it on the river.
Stacks are to deep to get it AI with only one weak overpair.

[Jingleheimer]

I really don't like the way you played this hand if you are going to fold the river.

You have significantly underrepresented your hand's strength. Your flop bet is basically 1/2 pot, and you check call a weak 1/3 pot bet on the turn. I think you have to look him up here. Your hand looks like a whiffed AK or a TT that is scared by his flop call.

He could easily have AK,AQ, TT, 99, 88... that is peeling your weak flop bet to see what you do on the turn.

I don't mind the turn check if you are going to either c/r, c/c and lead river, or c/c and c/c river. Was that your plan but the J changed it?

If you are playing your hand this way because of the 36/1.6/1.5, a PFR of 1.6 over 60 hands is only 1 raise, so I'm not sure how important you can weight that. Although I don't use stats and can't interpret the AF, it seems that you also shouldn't put much trust in that either.

[ItsTime4Nutz]

Its reraised pot so i dont need to bet 2\3 ps or so.
I dont see him bluffing the turn that weak, it
seems to me like fishy value bet J or better.
And this river call would be only a bluff-catcher.

If i bet turn, then i would play a very big pot with
marginal hand and ??? opponent.