($27) AA on a scary flop, too weak?

taipan168 · #1 08-27-2007, 07:28 AM

Opp's stats are 24/9/1.0 over about 180 hands. Is this too weak with AA? I would have called a reasonable size bet on the river.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t100 (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Button (t2105)
Hero (t5210)
BB (t3335)
UTG (t2850)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A

, A

.
2 folds, Hero raises to t300, BB calls t200.

Flop: (t600) K

, Q

, T

(2 players)
Hero bets t400, BB calls t400.

Turn: (t1400) Q

(2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets t300, Hero calls t300.

River: (t2000) 7

(2 players)
Hero checks, BB checks.

Triple Optics · #2 08-27-2007, 07:33 AM

I'm betting the turn with aces up, it's most likely the best hand. Get value from KT KJ JT AT ect. If he's got a queen or straight you still have some outs.. Also keeps him from hitting his straight for free.

McSturdy · #3 08-27-2007, 08:22 AM

What's your image? I think his bb calling range might be quite wide if you've been aggressive (and he doesn't fear your big stack as he should on the bubble).

Cadaver · #4 08-27-2007, 08:34 AM

nice one

ymu · #5 08-27-2007, 08:36 AM

Yeah - too weak I think. There's plenty he still has to call you with, and I don't think it helps him to "play perfectly" - betting the turn won't convince him you have a Q so he has no reason to fold if he called the flop, and we don't mind if he does. I'm probably quite happy the Q has made his 5 outers into 2 outers and given you 2 outs against a straight.

I'd lead the turn for about 3/4 pot and be happy to bet or c/c any non-terrifying river.

mortimo · #6 08-27-2007, 09:29 AM

I like t250-275 preflop
t800 on the turn, and check river if called

As played, I would bet t600 or something on the river

RexWoo · #7 08-27-2007, 10:14 AM

I play it like you but wonder if the preflop bet is good for profit on this board.

I like the turn bet/call. You would really be in trouble if he bets the river again and hard this time.

chuckpalms04 · #8 08-27-2007, 11:32 AM

i think i'm crai on the turn if i check it to him. we're on the bubble, we've got a bigger stack than he does, and chances are we've got the best hand. oesd's just lost outs, and hands like KJ or JT, which imo are most likely, are looking at 6 outs ftw, so i'd put maximum pressure on villain and go ahead and shove.