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#1
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PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (9 handed) internettexasholdem.com
UTG+1 (t4570) MP1 (t2965) MP2 (t4790) MP3 (t2430) Hero (t3240) Button (t2940) SB (t2975) BB (t4915) UTG (t2815) Preflop: Hero is CO with T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, Hero calls t30, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB completes, BB checks. Flop: (t90) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks. Turn: (t90) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets t30</font>, BB calls t30, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t120</font>, SB folds, BB calls t90. River: (t360) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero ...</font> Check or bet? And if I bet, how much? |
#2
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Bet 200, river is unlikely to have helped villain and he will possibly call with worse tens, eights or mid-pairs.
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#3
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I think I would check behind on this hand, the check on the flop and min-bet and call on the turn suggests to me that he probably isnt folding to a river bet. He could very well have a five as a five probably would have played it like that although many people usually raise this river with a five, especially how the action went. A higher ten is a possibility but an AT probably would have raised pre-flop and KT is only one hand, and both of these hands may have re-raised the turn. I also dont think a jack would check the river either. This looks alot like an 8 or small pp, or a higher ten. I am on vacation so I cant do the math and dont know whether you are making enough money when you are ahead to compensate for the times you bet and are re-raised and forced to fold but I doubt you are ahead enough times to make this play positive Ev. Representing a five would be tough because most players at the lower levels would expect someone not to raise on such a non threatening turn.
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#4
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I like the option to make it around 200.
I don't hate the idea of checking behind but that's probably because I'm overly nitty in a situation where I feel decent (not great) about being ahead. And when I do check behind and realize I might have missed some value yet again I tell myself to bet in such a situation next time. |
#5
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Valuebet 200ish...he calls with a worse hand more than he has a better hand (there are very few he can have)...he almost never bluff raises/value raises worse so it's a trivial not-losing-anything fold to a raise
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