Rivered set, so so spot

[fadedstar]

Hi,

Vilain is 30/10/1.8 after 153 hands. I feel stats are inacurate, guy looks semi-solid at least. Plan was to float and take down pot on turn since I noticed he's giving up easily. Then, that river card ....

he insta pushed river and was like.... meh, what do i beat.
Clear fold???

Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $133.04
BB: $128.21
UTG: $107.55
MP: $166.08
CO: $108.70
Hero (BTN): $107.36

Preflop: Hero is dealt 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6 Players)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $4.00</font>, 2 folds, Hero calls $4.00, 2 folds

Flop: ($9.50) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">UTG bets $6.00</font>, Hero calls $6.00

Turn: ($21.50) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">UTG bets $11.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $33.00</font>, UTG calls $22.00

River: ($87.50) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">UTG bets all-in for $64.55</font>

[thac]

A 30/10/1.8 is NOT gonna be double-barreling with something he wants to fold. When you float, you bet when you're checked to, but when he bets again (especially being kinda loose/passive), he HAS a hand and he's not folding. This is a really so so spot and you don't beat anything that fires three barrels IMO. This whole hand is pretty meh.

[dragonystic]

fold flop
fold turn
fold river

[keikiwai]

fold flop...... iow why on earth did you float on a flop where villain will almost never fold anything because it's so likely he's on a draw or a pair + a draw?

[fadedstar]

well i had a read! [img]/images/graemlins/crazy.gif[/img]

like i said, he seems to be giving up easily with big bets/raise. For sure, no mater how questionable is the flop call and turn raise with air, i know im 100% screwed on turn.

then, easy fold on river too.

ok im learning...

[keikiwai]

also, if you do float that flop, that turn is a bad card to bluff raise, since it is NOT one of the 9,000 cards that completes a draw (except for exactly 85)

[Unknown Soldier]

there are better flops to do this on doood

rivers a pretty easy fold i think

[crunchi]

Is it +ev to call the turn and fold to a river bet but check behind the rest of the time?

I feel that villain is on a draw and we win the pot a reasonable amount of the time. Also, villain is not likely to 3 barrel with air given his agg factor.

[thac]

No crunchi, don't put opponents on the one hand you beat. Calling down blindly is bad.