![]() |
#1
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
should i be folding this, or stack this off?
Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.05/$0.10 Blinds - 2 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter) BB: $12.25 Hero (SB): $10.50 Preflop: Hero is dealt T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero calls $0.05, BB checks Flop: ($0.20) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">BB bets $0.20</font>, Hero calls $0.20 Turn: ($0.60) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">BB bets $0.60</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.80</font>, <font color="red">BB raises all-in to $11.95</font>, Hero calls all-in for $8.40 Uncalled bet of $1.75 returned to BB Uncalled bet of $0.00 returned to Hero River: ($21) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players - 2 All-In) Pot Size: $21.00 ($0.25 Rake) BB had 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (three of a kind, Sevens) and WON (+$10.25) Hero had T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (three of a kind, Sevens) and LOST (-$10.50) |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
You beat more hands than losing to... so, yeah. Raise flop a good amount of the time.
|
#3
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
There's a phrase I like... Don't go broke in unraised pots.
Learn it. Apply It. Live it. |
#4
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Raise flop yes, stack off to massive overbet very villain dependant, i'm mostly folding here if he hasn't overbet before.
|
#5
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Semantics: this is trips - not a set. Set is when you hold a pocket pair and the board gives you your 3 of a kind.
The hand: Heads up at 10NL I go broke with this a lot, unless I have some sick read on the villain. How many hands did you play HU with this guy before this hand? Typically in HU play especially at 10NL you can get a very good feel for what exactly he would shove with (he makes a huge "here ya friggin' go" bet here). That being said if we want to try and look at this mathematically: We have trips with a decent kicker. If we make the assumption that villain has a 7 and run the whole range of 7's we are up against, Poker Stove says we are about even: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: <font color="blue"> 50.396% </font> 40.96% 09.43% 775 178.50 { A7s, K7s, Q7s, J7s, T7s, 97s, 87s, 72s+, A7o, K7o, Q7o, Jh7d, T7o, 97o, 87o, 72o+ } Hand 1: <font color="blue"> 49.604%</font> 40.17% 09.43% 760 178.50 { Tc7c } This obviously does not take into account an overpair, a bluff (would need a decent read to assume he was risking his stack to win that pot), or villain already having a full house. If we figure in realistic overpairs to the rest of the board (say 66-99; I would discount TT+ due to the flat call) and add those to his range, as well as the pocket pairs needed for villain to have a boat we get: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: <font color="blue"> 41.096% </font> 35.04% 06.05% 1033 178.50 { 99-55, 22, A7s, K7s, Q7s, J7s, T7s, 97s, 87s, 72s+, A7o, K7o, Q7o, Jh7d, T7o, 97o, 87o, 72o+ } Hand 1: <font color="blue"> 58.904% </font> 52.85% 06.05% 1558 178.50 { Tc7c } So again, at best we are a 3:2 favorite if we really stretch out villains range, or a coin flip it we assume any 7 for villain. If we want to look the other way and assume any 7's, 55, or 22 we get: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: <font color="blue"> 54.522% </font> 46.24% 08.28% 997 178.50 { 55, 22, A7s, K7s, Q7s, J7s, T7s, 97s, 87s, 72s+, A7o, K7o, Q7o, Jh7d, T7o, 97o, 87o, 72o+ } Hand 1: <font color="blue"> 45.478% </font> 37.20% 08.28% 802 178.50 { Tc7c } So our equity doesn't plummet by any means if we add the 55's and 22's to the equation. Looking at all of this, I think we call it a coin flip and assume that the money already in the pot makes this a good call. <font color="red">Anyone think I am off my rocker here? </font> |
#6
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Oh wow, just for fun I ran this hand with us having 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] and it is amazing the difference that one pip makes:
equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: <font color="blue"> 57.162% </font> 47.73% 09.43% 903 178.50 { A7s, K7s, Q7s, J7s, T7s, 97s, 87s, 72s+, A7o, K7o, Q7o, Jh7d, T7o, 97o, 87o, 72o+ } Hand 1: <font color="blue"> 42.838% </font> 33.40% 09.43% 632 178.50 { 9c7c } No real meat here...just some nerdy pokerstove goodness. |
#7
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
[ QUOTE ]
should i be folding this, or stack this off? [/ QUOTE ] Stack off. Would you be asking if he didn't have you out-kicked? |
#8
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
[ QUOTE ]
There's a phrase I like... Don't go broke in unraised pots. Learn it. Apply It. Live it. [/ QUOTE ] i always thought this rule is way too general to be useful. you arent stacking off the 2nd nuts with say KQs in the BB and you flop a flush? |
#9
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
Insta-call.
|
#10
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
[ QUOTE ]
There's a phrase I like... Don't go broke in unraised pots. Learn it. Apply It. Live it. [/ QUOTE ] wrong OP, this is okay i suppose. |
![]() |
|
|