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  #31  
Old 08-24-2007, 09:48 AM
Jibba Jibba is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: Boston
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Default Re: LC: exploiting a strange pf strategy HU

[ QUOTE ]
Just curious, he folded fairly often to reraises and shoves.

[/ QUOTE ]

Is it just me, or did you answer your own question?
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  #32  
Old 08-24-2007, 01:35 PM
DevinLake DevinLake is offline
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Location: Calgary, Alberta, Canada
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Default Re: LC: exploiting a strange pf strategy HU

[ QUOTE ]
Hey Devin,

Would it be possible for you to post your calculations.
I'm facing a lot of this min. raising guys so this sounds really interesting to me!

THANKS!!

[/ QUOTE ]

Here's the case for villain min raising and calling with any two and you shoving any two with starting stacks of Hero: 7300 and villain: 1700

Equity when you fold: 0.5867

Equity when you shove:
-win 47.97%: 0.65
-lose 47.97%: 0.5367
-split 2.03%: 0.5933
- villain folds 0%: 0.6067

Equity of shoving = (0.4797*0.65+0.4797*0.5367+0.0203*0.5933)*100% + (0.6067)*0% = 0.5921

$EV of shove = 0.5921 - 0.5867 = +0.55% $EV.

Here's the same calculation if villain folds 50% of the time:

Equity when you fold: 0.5867

Equity when you shove:
-win 40.75%: 0.65
-lose 57.74%: 0.5367
-split 1.51%: 0.5933
- villain folds 50%: 0.6067

Equity of shoving = (0.4075*0.65+0.5774*0.5367+0.0151*0.5933)*0.5 + (0.6067)*0.5 = 0.5952

$EV of shove = 0.5952 - 0.5867 = +0.85% $EV.
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  #33  
Old 08-24-2007, 01:59 PM
Sober Sober is offline
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Default Re: LC: exploiting a strange pf strategy HU

I'm curious as to how deep villain can be for that to remain +EV. Up to t4000? So that when you push over his t400 minraise he's 'effectively' at 10BBs?
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