AQ for Top2, stack?

[DJSHAD0W]

Villain in this hand is 62/15/1.3 over about 80 hands. I have not noticed him doing anything goofy, besides play almost every pot. He seemed like your typical POW - payoff wizzard, until I get raised on the turn....

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.05/$0.10 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $10.30
BB: $2.50
Hero (UTG): $9.15
MP: $10.35
CO: $21.80
BTN: $9.85

Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (6 Players)
<font color="red">Hero raises to $0.30</font>, MP calls $0.30, CO calls $0.30, 3 folds

Flop: ($1.05) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $0.80</font>, MP folds, CO calls $0.80

Turn: ($2.65) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $1.20</font>, <font color="red">CO raises to $2.50</font>, Hero calls $1.30

River: ($7.65) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">CO bets $5.60</font>, Hero ??

Can I fold the turn or push the turn? I dont see how a worse hand will call maybe AK?
Did I induce the turn raise with the smallish bet? I figured I call and reevaluate river....
I dont think a guy with AF &lt; 2 would reraise with the flushdraw...

[shoxbb6]

Push the turn. Sample size is too small to rely on AF

[AZplaya]

I would burn a trail into the felt putting my stack in on the turn...if villian has K10 or a set so be it but I think your way ahead of villians range here.

[Dumle]

[ QUOTE ]
Push the turn. Sample size is too small to rely on AF

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah. Besides an AF of 1.3 with VPIP of 62 is quite aggressive, not passive.

OP, you will mostly see worse 2-pairs, with other random crap and sets thrown in once in a while.

Dumle

[DJSHAD0W]

does the min-raise on the turn mean anything?
(is the nutz often, sometimes a draw in my experience)

[Dumle]

[ QUOTE ]
does the min-raise on the turn mean anything?
(is the nutz often, sometimes a draw in my experience)

[/ QUOTE ]

It usually means a good hand or, as you say, sometimes a draw. Now I was going to show you that you were a big favourite against all his possible made hands. I stand somewhat corrected, though. I pokerstoved the hand and you are worse off than I thought.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

2,376 games 0.078 secs 30,461 games/sec

Board: Qh Jc 2d Ac
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 51.768% 48.06% 03.70% 1142 88.00 { AdQc }
Hand 1: 48.232% 44.53% 03.70% 1058 88.00 { AA, QQ-JJ, 22, AJs+, A2s, KTs, QJs, AJo+, A2o, KTo, QJo }

Its still an all-in, though, since I haven't added any draws and he sometimes shows up with an even worse hand. Its also probably better to get it in now than river, unless you think he'll bluff missed draws alot. It has to be alot, though.

Dumle

[Dumle]

Also, sets are also a bit less likely since he didn't reraise preflop.

Dumle

[DJSHAD0W]

As played do I call the river push?
( = do I beat anything besides AK and AJ)

[Dumle]

[ QUOTE ]
As played do I call the river push?
( = do I beat anything besides AK and AJ)

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, I call. Its a nasty river, but getting more than 2-1 I make this call. You have to realize, though, and this is important, that an AF of 1.3 with a VPIP of 62 is an aggressive SOB, not passive.

Dumle

[monkeymaps]

I just get it in on the turn think there is alot of draws here could have that you lose action from on the river if he misses