6.50 Fold AA here?

mikesh · #1 08-14-2007, 03:26 AM

I've been dealt JJ and QQ within the last 3 hands and re-raised to take the pot PF with them, so I suspect the CO thinks I'm raising with junk. I check the turn because I'm convinced he called my raise after the flop to chase his flush, which I suspect he now has. Or am I being paranoid? What else could his river bet be?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (7 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP2 (t1395)
CO (t3180)
Hero (t1780)
SB (t2669)
BB (t2171)
UTG (t1165)
MP1 (t1140)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
1 fold, MP1 calls t50, MP2 calls t50, CO calls t50, Hero raises to t300, 2 folds, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, CO calls t250.

Flop: (t775) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets t450, CO calls t450.

Turn: (t1675) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
CO checks, Hero checks.

River: (t1675) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
CO bets t750, Hero ?.

Cadaver · #2 08-14-2007, 03:30 AM

PUSH TURN!

ADLinden · #3 08-14-2007, 03:37 AM

[ QUOTE ]
PUSH TURN!

[/ QUOTE ]

mikesh · #4 08-14-2007, 03:42 AM

Sigh. No wonder I'm running so bad lately. I thought maybe I should have pushed after the flop perhaps. His check on the turn just felt really trappy to me.

RexWoo · #5 08-14-2007, 04:47 AM

pushing the turn looks really good.

Luisgallo · #6 08-14-2007, 04:49 AM

Bet more on the flop, push turn.
As played call.

freeucm · #7 08-14-2007, 05:06 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Bet more on the flop, push turn.
As played call.

[/ QUOTE ]

AA is always the nuts.

pa3lsvt · #8 08-14-2007, 05:22 AM

To me, the bet that's 3/4 of your remaining stack is too much to be a value bet. If I was confident CO was a thinking player (not a given at a $6.50), I'm calling here as played. A T should check (and call) this river, a flush should bet less (~300) to get value from you, and a set should have CRAI on the flop.

That said, for the love of god please push the turn!

ymu · #9 08-14-2007, 07:53 AM

Bet closer to full pot on the flop. If you've been very active the last few hands you don't need to worry about him folding too easily. He's just as likely to think you're bluffing with a big bet, and even if he doesn't have a flush draw, a heart could kill your action so get the money in.

Push the turn - a flush is only part of his range and you have the NFD which makes up for some of those times anyway.

If you check the turn I like a call on the river. If he had a T on the flop he's likely to have raised, and the check on the turn means "I'm not sure where my 88 is right now" more often than it means "I'm slowplaying my flush".

jonny87 · #10 08-14-2007, 08:39 AM

yer i would have bet nearly the pot or the pot on the flop. You surely have the best hand now and with a possible flush draw out there, you should not be scared to win the pot then and there.

shove turn as you need to see where you are. checking here gives you no information about what he may have.

if you had more chips, you could make a bet of say half or just over half the pot, he may raise you with a flush, in which case your done with the hand. and if he does just call he will probly check to you on the turn to try and induce a bet, in which case you can check too and see his hand. If you do have the best hand he will probably fold in which case you win the pot. As you only have enough chips for just over 1/2 pot bet, I would shove this.

bear in mind I am not that experienced tho so may be wrong. Any1 agree or disagree with me?