25nl 350BB deep river decision

toomuchforu · #1 08-13-2007, 06:05 PM

villain running 61/3/.05 over about 100
hands. calling station preflop and chases weak draws frequently resulting in his stack. The two of us have very little history. i have been raising his blinds a lot and taking most pots away on the flop or turn. No real clashing

Absolute Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $89.32
CO: $34.15
Button: $24.30
hero: $94.63
BB: $30.05

Pre-flop: (5 players) hero is SB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
UTG calls, 2 folds, hero raises to $1.5, BB folds, UTG calls.

Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($3.25, 2 players)
hero bets $3, UTG calls.

Turn: 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($9.25, 2 players)
hero bets $8.5, UTG calls.

River: 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($26.25, 2 players)
hero ?

I can't decide between value bet or check call reasonable size bet. he hasn't bluffed much but could try to value bet smaller two pair. an 8 seems possible with this guy and more likely than him flopping a straight because he would have raised the turn at least if not the flop...what line do you like here?

wslee00 · #2 08-13-2007, 06:12 PM

dude - please bet this, like 18-20

Chris_ca · #3 08-13-2007, 07:00 PM

Easy, easy bet.

maciczka · #4 08-13-2007, 07:10 PM

vbet

hennnerz · #5 08-13-2007, 07:22 PM

bet 18 fold to all in.

Milky · #6 08-13-2007, 06:12 PM

Would this be a good spot for a blocking/value bet? Bet $10 or so and if raised you can fold since his AF is fairly low...

wslee00 · #7 08-13-2007, 06:15 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Would this be a good spot for a blocking/value bet?

[/ QUOTE ]
you are not throwing out a blocking bet - it is strictly a value bet. - i don't know how you can put him on an 8 here.

toomuchforu · #8 08-13-2007, 06:24 PM

[ QUOTE ]
i don't know how you can put him on an 8 here.

[/ QUOTE ]

he could easily have q8, T8 or 89 here. without a doubt. i'm thinking that bet/folding is the best option here but given that he could easily be donking around with an 8 here makes me a little weary of leading.

InfectorGadget · #9 08-13-2007, 06:35 PM

Just as easily as he could have Qx, Tx and 9x. As wslee00 said, I dont know how you can put him on an 8? He could just as easily chased with the K or an J, not to mention all the other hands like TP and 2pair.

Id value bet this. On the other hand, if you bet and he raises you, that would be a harder spot.

ama0330 · #10 08-13-2007, 06:45 PM

For the love of god BET make it $20 to go