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  #21  
Old 08-12-2007, 01:59 AM
thephenom thephenom is offline
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Default Re: 30 Game Run: Does This Indicate any Long Term Pattern?

For anyone I gave a hard time, I apologize.

You are all entitled to give whatever feedback you choose, and I appreciate that you at least took the time to read my post.

Good luck in the game of poker, and the game of life. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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  #22  
Old 08-12-2007, 02:07 AM
ebepse ebepse is offline
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Location: Santa Barbara, CA
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Default Re: 30 Game Run: Does This Indicate any Long Term Pattern?

[ QUOTE ]
but in my past 30 games, I have a 110% ROI.

[/ QUOTE ]


HOLY [censored] WAIT AND U ARE NOT A POKER PRO? WHY NOTTTTTTTT I HATE PEOPLE LIKE YOU THAT ARE POKER GODS AND DONT USE THAT GIFT

GOOGOGOGOO 1KSSSS
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  #23  
Old 08-12-2007, 02:37 AM
Dangeresque Dangeresque is offline
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Location: Heartattack at 1-2 Limit
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Default Re: 30 Game Run: Does This Indicate any Long Term Pattern?

[ QUOTE ]
Obviously it's fairly likely you're a winning player, even on that sample size, if you have 100+% ROI. What is the confidence interval? Well, estimating the variance from your peculiar sample would probably understate the true variance and give you an unrealistically small CI. Easiest is to just play another 70 and reevaluate.

[/ QUOTE ]

Excellent post, and you're at 777 right now. With advice like that I'd suggest [hackneyed response]
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  #24  
Old 08-12-2007, 03:48 AM
remski remski is offline
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Default Re: 30 Game Run: Does This Indicate any Long Term Pattern?

[ QUOTE ]
move sideways to where they respect your questions

[/ QUOTE ]

This is really a great response.100% agreed.
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  #25  
Old 08-12-2007, 04:25 AM
uminchu uminchu is offline
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Default Re: 30 Game Run: Does This Indicate any Long Term Pattern?

definitely
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  #26  
Old 08-12-2007, 04:41 AM
kuelk420 kuelk420 is offline
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Default Re: 30 Game Run: Does This Indicate any Long Term Pattern?

phenom, don't let these haters get you down...30 sng's that is a very good roi regardless of the buy-in...you have to understand most contributing to this thread have never approached that return with a sample size of 5.
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  #27  
Old 08-12-2007, 06:05 AM
remski remski is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 281
Default Re: 30 Game Run: Does This Indicate any Long Term Pattern?

[ QUOTE ]
phenom, don't let these haters get you down...30 sng's that is a very good roi regardless of the buy-in...you have to understand most contributing to this thread have never approached that return with a sample size of 5.

[/ QUOTE ]

Hater Hater. :P
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  #28  
Old 08-12-2007, 05:43 PM
DaveyDonk DaveyDonk is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Kansas =(
Posts: 512
Default Re: 30 Game Run: Does This Indicate any Long Term Pattern?

[ QUOTE ]
Guys, I am actually aware that my last 30 games is not a long term indicator of my ability at the $22 STT SNGs.

I am asking if this run of 110% over 30 games is anything notable, or is it typical of a run that many players will have, even if they aren't long term winners.

[/ QUOTE ]

I saw a guy who openlimped T6o in EP in the first level and stack off w/ TP and was a significant winner over 400 sng's, so yeah 110% over 30 of them doesn't really mean much.
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