NLTRN How often will you go broke here...

[waxhax0rs]

How often will you go broke with the nut flush (or close to it) or nut straight on a paired board?

In this particular hand here are my reads:
The guy liked to limp big hands, he could easily have AK or AA or KK here (as well as a LOT of other hands). He liked to limp his big hands as well as others. Normally he has been minraising hands like any Ace or King or Queen but he has had some randomness. He had slowed down on his raising in this round however. He's a slowplayer for sure so I would not be surprised to see him with a lone king here.


Full Tilt Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (2 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

Hero (t1355)
BB <font color="#A500AF">(Villian)</font> (t1645)

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
BB <font color="#A500AF">(Villian)</font> calls t15, Hero checks.

Flop: (t75) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, Villian checks.

Turn: (t75) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, Villian checks.

River: (t75) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t60</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Villian raises to t210</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t500</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Villian raises to t1000</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t1765 (All-In)</font>, Villian calls t535.

Final Pot: t3375

Note this is a general question too, not just for this situation.

[Schpacko]

I go broke in this situation every singel time. This is the typical low-stakes-omg-i-flopped-trips-just-dont-bet-line.
I think he has just a king or a even a lower flush much more often then a full house.