top two vs nit-- still push here?

[pmuir10]

villain is 19/5/3 and 14 WtSD after 84 hands.


Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $155.25
BB: $68.00
UTG: $250.65
Hero (MP): $255.45
CO: $230.80
BTN: $189.00

Preflop: Hero is dealt T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $7.00</font>, CO calls $7.00, BTN calls $7.00, SB calls $6.00, BB folds

Flop: ($30) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (4 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $22.00</font>, <font color="red">CO raises to $76.00</font>, 2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises all-in to $248.45</font>

[shamasotoole]

am i too nitty if i can find a fold here

[Unknown Soldier]

no shama, ez fold

[Shes92]

Is hero likley to do this with flush draw combos??? If so I like the push. If you dont think thats likely he's probably got the str8 or 99 and its a fold. He may also be doing this with TPTK so I think its a close call depending on how you think he plays his draws

[pmuir10]

based solely on his aggression factor, i figured that those would all be possible holdings, thus the push.

[dragonystic]

i say fold it.

[ajloeffl]

I dont like this push vs a nit... especially when he raises you with others still in the pot.

easy fold when he raises

[pmuir10]

this is what i came up with in pstove..

Board: Jc Tc 9d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 59.222% 57.52% 01.70% 74030 2189.00 { TT-88, AcJc, KQs, KcJc, QcJc, QcTc, J9s, Jc8c, T9s, Tc8c, 9c8c, 87s }
Hand 1: 40.778% 39.08% 01.70% 50292 2189.00 { JTo }

[pmuir10]

one bump

[awvdh]

The Jc is on the board, and is listed in some of the possible holdings...