500NL - TPGK River Decision

[mdkrahn]

Is this a pretty easy river fold on this board vs villain?


Villain is 17/9/1.3

Cryptologic
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $2/$5
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $407.85
UTG+1: $357.30
CO: $487.70
Hero: $837
SB: $332.80
BB: $510

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises to $15</font>, Hero calls, SB calls, BB calls.

Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($60, 4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, CO checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $37</font>, SB calls, 2 folds.

Turn: 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($134, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">SB bets $85</font>, Hero calls.

River: 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($304, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">SB bets $115</font>, Hero???

[winky51]

This turn bet smells like hes betting his draw trying to rep an 8. But yes fold to river to mr tighty. I'd watch to see if he likes check calling the flop and betting the turn with draws. He bet 63% of the pot on the turn here. Would he REAAAALY just call with an ace on the flop?

Is he the type to slowplay a set out of position on a double draw flop here? He doesnt have AA or 88 for sure. So that leaves 22 (not!), 55 possible (but I think he would at least check raise the flop, and a draw (most likely). AK? Why wouldnt he bet out to protect his hand?

River smells like "call me, CALL ME, CAAAAALLLLLL MEEEEEE, I hit my flush"