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#1
08-08-2007, 06:59 PM
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Re: Two Aspects of Draw: Ben Frisch
[ QUOTE ]
Here's the quote: [ QUOTE ] The chances of making two pair or better if drawing three cards to a pair is about 44% or about (1-(39/47 * 38/46 * 37/45) = 1-(.8298 * .8261 * .8222) = 1-.5636 =43.64%) or odds of about 9-4. So by keeping that ace you are significantly hurting your chances to improve your hands. [/ QUOTE ] I think if you dig through the archives you can find examples calculating the number exactly; Caro's number is correct. [/ QUOTE ] Interesting bit bolded. 44% sure ain't 9:4, but Caro's number is pretty close to it. Someone read odds notation backwards and tried to self-justify? 
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#2
08-08-2007, 07:08 PM
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Re: Two Aspects of Draw: Ben Frisch
Caro's number is closer to 10:4, though:
71.29 : 28.71 = 2.48 to 1
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#3
08-08-2007, 10:49 PM
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Re: Two Aspects of Draw: Ben Frisch
That caught my eye too.
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