#1
|
|||
|
|||
10/25 Big Draw Shut Out?
$10/$25 No Limit Holdem
5 players Stacks: UTG (<font color="#0000cc">$2533.00</font>) CO (<font color="#0000cc">$8238.50</font>) BTN (<font color="#0000cc">$2666.50</font>) Hero (<font color="#0000cc">$2793.00</font>) BB (<font color="#0000cc">$4645.00</font>) Pre-flop: ($35, 5 players) Hero is SB K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] UTG calls $25, CO calls $25, BTN calls $25, Hero calls $15, BB checks Flop: 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($125, 5 players) <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $125</font>, BB calls $125, UTG calls $125, 2 folds Turn: 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($500, 3 players) Hero checks, BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">UTG bets $190</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $885</font>, <font color="#cc0000">BB goes all-in $4495</font>, UTG folds, <font color="#0000cc">Hero?</font> $1758 left to win $3333, 1.9 to 1... need 34.5% equity for break even. Villain is a kinda unknown 24/12 seems okay, not too dangerous. |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: 10/25 Big Draw Shut Out?
Why did you raise the turn??
I think even if you didnt raise the turn BB was pushing regardless.... Lot of outs there. Hard to put villian on anything with that history. I would pick a different spot. If i was villian what would i be pushing with there. Nut flush draw, trip nines?? Without some kind of preflop raise, he can have anything.... |
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: 10/25 Big Draw Shut Out?
Pretty sure your math's wrong:
$125 preflop $375 on flop UTG's $190 + Your $885 + BB's $2643 on the turn Means you're calling $1758 to win the $4218 in the pot. More than enough money in the pot to make the call with your 15 outs, unless you're discounting some of them pretty severely. |
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: 10/25 Big Draw Shut Out?
Good catch UMTerp... I missed my $885. Need 29.4% equity for break-even.
|
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Re: 10/25 Big Draw Shut Out?
I think BB will have 75 a lot. I would fold this. I also hate your turn check raise.
|
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Re: 10/25 Big Draw Shut Out?
[ QUOTE ]
I think BB will have 75 a lot. I would fold this. I also hate your turn check raise. [/ QUOTE ] We have 26% equity vs. all 75o/75s, and only need 29% to break-even. Yes, all most nits will hate the raise. |
#7
|
|||
|
|||
Re: 10/25 Big Draw Shut Out?
i don't think you have 15 outs here
|
#8
|
|||
|
|||
Re: 10/25 Big Draw Shut Out?
I'd just bet the turn again as I would with sets/2pair/straight
|
#9
|
|||
|
|||
Re: 10/25 Big Draw Shut Out?
i HATE check/raising if your folding to a shove.
|
#10
|
|||
|
|||
Re: 10/25 Big Draw Shut Out?
[ QUOTE ]
Yes, all most nits will hate the raise. [/ QUOTE ] Obviously! However, check-raising with any intention of folding can't be good with your stack. |
|
|