10/180, overpair on a scaryish board

[Dimitzu]

No reads. I`m really not sure what to do here.

I don`t like bet folding because villain might check raise me off the hand which still might be best.

Checking behind feels bad also because like half of the deck makes the board ugly for my hand.



PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t20 (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

CO (t1520)
Button (t1420)
SB (t3070)
BB (t1560)
UTG (t1720)
UTG+1 (t1490)
Hero (t1440)
MP2 (t1280)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t80</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, SB calls t70, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>.

Flop: (t180) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t140</font>, SB calls t140.

Turn: (t460) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, Hero?

[chh]

I bet at least 300 here (to reduce his bluff probability) and if he actually CR AI then I might find a fold

[kimos123]

scary turn card, try to keep the pot small.
a bet of 300 would make you almost pot comited. i would check and see what he does on the river

[ThePershore]

Problem is you're more likely to get c/r'd than c/c'd on the turn, which is bad if we're planning to c/f - and he probably c/f's everything that we beat anyway.

So checking behind is better IMO.

[Soulman]

Yeah I'm checking this turn, there aren't that many realistic scare cards.

[Tackleberry]

[ QUOTE ]
Yeah I'm checking this turn, there aren't that many realistic scare cards.

[/ QUOTE ]

No? [img]/images/graemlins/ooo.gif[/img] Any A, any spade, any J, any T where scare cards for me. We had to fold if Villain shoved the river on one of them. I don´t think that Villain called the flop with a gutshot and a made flush is only one of several other possibilities, as we´re HU.

I like a bet of 300 and a fold to a shove here. Villain probably won´t shove unless he has already beaten us - which I assume as unlikely.