FT200, 6m, AK reraised, checked down facing river bet

[Nielsio]

[ QUOTE ]
i mean callings not terrible
but i feel like this is like 99/TT/77 as much as it is rando air bluff that probably fires the turn.

[/ QUOTE ]


Wouldn't TT/99/77 fire the turn as well?

[Suwalski]

How do you get the 3bet percentage?

[Nielsio]

[ QUOTE ]
How do you get the 3bet percentage?

[/ QUOTE ]


Go to the software forum and look for 'mikechops' or something.

[BombayBadboy]

This guy call 3-bets too much. Bet the flop you klompendanser.

[BalugaWhale]

[ QUOTE ]


Wouldn't TT/99/77 fire the turn as well?



[/ QUOTE ]
nah

[Nielsio]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]


Wouldn't TT/99/77 fire the turn as well?



[/ QUOTE ]
nah

[/ QUOTE ]

Why not? Everyone knows checking twice means air.

[BalugaWhale]

so then why bet

[Nielsio]

I expect villain to bet almost his entire range on the turn: small pairs, monsters, A-high, non-A air, draws.


His tanking on the flop and then checking is highly suspect. Either he is affraid of a c/r with a showdown hand or he is contemplating a bluff. Once I check the turn, then he should be betting, but he doesn't.


Now, the river. Either he is trying to rep a bluff, or he is bluffing. Because it's obviously hard for me to call here with K or A high.


My own range should be very well defined.

[Nielsio]

Well,

I call because 1. I think his flop line (tanking and checking) reeks of tempting to bluff but chickened out. Then after I check the turn again, I expect him to bet his entire range from small pps to monsters (smallish bet) to air. One hand that might check behind turn is one with showdown value, namely A-high. I feel on the river he is trying to win the split or get me off a better A-high. His bet is clearly designed to not be called. I don't think this villain is capable of checking two streets behind and then set up this play to rep a bluff when he has a monster.


Anyway,

Villain has JTo and this was a tough decision to make and I tanked all the way.

[AcidPokerKid]

fold

looks like a big hand(meybe a SET) that he fells he missed value on all streets and is trying to take some $$ potting the river

also u have good odds to call
if u fold x dead
he bets x u call x
if u win u gonna make x+2x
so 1 in 3 u must be right