$16 Turbo on Stars, UTG Bubble Push. Warning :Raw HH

[dreday227]

Sorry guys. I really tried to convert the hand but I'm at work and for the life of me can't get the hand to convert correctly. BB and Button are regular winning players. SB is a callin station Donk.

PokerStars Game #11261820895: Tournament #57132027, $15+$1 Hold'em No
Limit - Level VIII (200/400) - 2007/08/01 - 22:17:54 (ET)
Table '57132027 1' 9-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: Hero (2765 in chips)
Seat 6: Button (3345 in chips)
Seat 8: SB (2445 in chips)
Seat 9: BB (4945 in chips)
Hero: posts the ante 25
Button: posts the ante 25
SB: posts the ante 25
BB: posts the ante 25
SB: posts small blind 200
BB: posts big blind 400
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero [2c 2d]

Push or Fold?

[hoyasaxa]

foldski

[chuckpalms04]

def fold

[dreday227]

What range do I need here to push?

[kuey]

I'd probably shove 88, AT+ here, though that might be too nitty. Maybe 77 and A9s. Derno, I suck so whatever.

[ymu]

Fold.

66+, A9s+, ATo+ feels about right here, but you'd need to assign some calling ranges and run some ICM calcs to get it right.

Calling ranges are particularly important for SB, if by "calling station donk" you mean he calls large raises loose preflop. If, for example, he'll call with any A this massively improves the equity of the mid pairs because they dominate a large part of his range, but it makes 22 much much worse because 22 is never a big favourite when called.

E2A: well, almost never. A2 being in his calling range doesn't help much.

[Sid Simelia]

Let's gamble. We'll probably get called by jacks and hit a two outter because poker is rigged.

[dreday227]

[ QUOTE ]
Let's gamble. We'll probably get called by jacks and hit a two outter because poker is rigged.

[/ QUOTE ]

That was my thinking, but i got called by 99 instead and no 2 on turn or river. SO RIGGED!!