Top 2 pair am i good enough times here to call?

awjpoker · #1 08-01-2007, 02:03 PM

I get into a pot cheap with an ok hand but out of position. My read based on the flop was that a set seemed pretty unlikey as i had one of each of the top two cards in my hand only leaving 22 to worry about. I figured I was possibly up against TT+ overpair as the guy was a bit of a donkey.

What do you think my chances of being good are in this spot?

Villian was 29/15/1.6 but with a pre-flop Aggressions factor of only 1.1 over 60 hands.

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Button is in seat 3
Total number of players: 6

Seat 1: CO ($218,40)
Seat 3: BTN ($42,00)
Seat 5: SB ($198,00)
Seat 6: Hero ($197,00)
Seat 8: UTG ($170,95)
Seat 10: UTG+1 ($274,20)

SB posts small blind of $1,00
Hero posts big blind of $2,00

Hero is dealt 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img],6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

UTG raises to $4,00
UTG+1 folds
CO calls $4,00
BTN folds
SB folds
Hero calls $2,00

Dealing flop 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img],2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img],7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
Pot is: $13,00

Hero checks
UTG bets $4,00
CO raises to $12,00
Hero calls $12,00
UTG folds

Dealing turn J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
Pot is: $41,00

Hero bets $34,00
CO raises to $202,40
Hero is all-in ($147,00)

Dealing river T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
Pot is: $424,40

zaephyr · #2 08-01-2007, 02:06 PM

This seems like a stack a donk move from him with sth like JJ+.
Easy call imo.

awjpoker · #3 08-01-2007, 03:16 PM

Glad you agree, only thing that made me wary was the pre-flop action as most times QQ+ at least will raise but sometimes people get too fancy with big pairs.

jmc999 · #4 08-01-2007, 03:25 PM

I think it looks fine.

Conan776 · #5 08-01-2007, 03:26 PM

I might have re-raised CO on the flop. Kill's UTG's money (he would fold here anyway to CO's raise most of the time) and gets more info about CO's hand.

mason55 · #6 08-01-2007, 03:27 PM

3 bet the flop, you're giving UTG sick odds to draw and your hand is too vulnerable to slowplay.

Cue-Ball 66 · #7 08-01-2007, 03:30 PM

Def def def 3-bet flop. Calling is suicide here imo.

Hince · #8 08-01-2007, 03:35 PM

Calling flop is bad. You represent a draw by calling and kill your action on a lot of turns. You also give UTG really great odds to out draw you.

johnnyrocket · #9 08-01-2007, 03:41 PM

[ QUOTE ]
3 bet the flop, you're giving UTG sick odds to draw and your hand is too vulnerable to slowplay.

[/ QUOTE ]

yea i completely agree, i am 3 betting this flop to fill up the pot and put draws to the test. I hate peeling more cards on this board. As played i like your line.

JohnAndersen · #10 08-01-2007, 03:47 PM

everything everyone else said about not raising the flop. Given his low agression factor would he do this with QQ or something other than JJ?