#11
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Re: annoying river spot 25/50
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] This is an easy fold, no? You can beat KJ and that's it. Are you thinking of raising the river? If so, how do you play sets on the turn? [/ QUOTE ] So when he bets the flop he must have at least two pair? [/ QUOTE ] No, but if he didn't have 2 pair and had AT or AQ, we are losing. Any other Ax hand and we chop. We also don't beat AK. fold>raise>call. |
#12
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Re: annoying river spot 25/50
[ QUOTE ]
fwiw I think he rarely has a ten here [/ QUOTE ] So, it's likely a boat or air? How often does he throw that bet out with an AK/AJ type hand as a blocker bet? |
#13
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Re: annoying river spot 25/50
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] It really depends on how often you think Ahhh Snapp will bluff in that spot. [/ QUOTE ] Great post. [/ QUOTE ] LOL |
#14
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Re: annoying river spot 25/50
fold
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#15
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Re: annoying river spot 25/50
idk, his bet size on the river sorta looks like he might be trying to get you to raise, but it could be a blocking bet. this is gross, i guess i'd call but i can't ever fold
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#16
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Re: annoying river spot 25/50
fold
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#17
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Re: annoying river spot 25/50
River seems like a fold. Way too many hands you're behind.
I'm actually very interested in your intended turn/river line if they had both bricked. Were you calling down/betting if checked to? |
#18
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Re: annoying river spot 25/50
dunno
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#19
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Re: annoying river spot 25/50
I'll take a stab at his range..
boat - flop makes sense. but turn seems unlikely he'd play it like this. he knows its hard for you to rep a T, and your range is Ax/two pair most of the time, KQ/KT sometimes and random float rarely. so a bet makes most sense with a set here, especially since now you can have a few more two pairs. river bet sizing? he can do this for value since he knows you have at least Ax, and perhaps induce a heroic bluff raise. but still, he is 25/20 and tough and big pairs are hard to get. 25% AK/AQ - pretty consistent line for those hands. 25% Random Q - depends a lot on how he plays in these 3 way pots after a late position raise. I'd guess 15% Ax - river bet doesn't really make sense. unless he is leveling us and figures 650 is as good as 900 for getting us off of an A or KJ. 10% Bluff - 25% Maybe my numbers are way off, but I think I call this. |
#20
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Re: annoying river spot 25/50
I think he can play a ten like this for sure
I would read his soul and lean towards folding also, consider betting turn pls |
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