Induce a bluff?

kerk · #1 07-26-2007, 09:24 AM

Been playing very LAG, running at about 15/29 over 200 hands.

Reads: Villian i think is tilting due to my "terrible donkey idiot play, how can i call a re raise with 5h7h, who cares if i am on the button etc"

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

CO ($26.75)
Button ($19)
Hero ($24.80)
BB ($28.50)
UTG ($21)
MP ($24.50)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
1 fold, MP calls $0.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $2.5, BB calls $2, MP folds.

Flop: ($5.50) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets $4.5, BB calls $4.50.
After this bet/call i am done with this hand.

Turn: ($14.50) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, " i check here hoping he will bet at it regardless of his cards. I realise its not the best play but i know for a fact he will bet whether he has hit or not. as he as done many times in the past but will usually fold to a bet if he has not hit. BB bets $21.5 (All-In), Hero calls $17.80 (All-In).
River: ($50.10) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players, 2 all-in)

Final Pot: $50.10

Instead of a small bet he pushes? im kinda convinced this is a FD more than a TPGK but im not sure.

All comments welcome.

kerk · #2 07-26-2007, 09:25 AM

oops might wanna move this one too. Sorry i did know the rules. just didnt click the right one.

Shizzle12345 · #3 07-26-2007, 09:37 AM

29/15 is not lag..

kerk · #4 07-26-2007, 09:40 AM

sorry, 39/25

mvdgaag · #5 07-26-2007, 10:14 AM

I bet out anyways, the flop is drawheavy and he is likely to check behind on a draw, at least he is correct to do so. I need a lot of experince with this player (more than a couple of hundred hands or a dozen observations of this) to rely on this. You might suffer from FPS.
As played it's an easy fold. You beat very little hands and noone in his right mind semibluffs a FD on the turn like this. No reasons to play bad because you think he's on tilt; let him make mistakes, don't make them yourself.

reef2287 · #6 07-26-2007, 10:16 AM

i have a ? then mvd... why does he overbet the pot unless to scare us away? why doesn't this look like pockets larger than a 6, smaller than a king-- i think this is a call, i'm wondering your logic as to why you believe its a fold... looks to me like 77 or 88

reef2287 · #7 07-26-2007, 10:17 AM

he wants us to lay down the flush draw, and maybe get action from a 6-- this IMO says in no way he has TP beat on that turn

mvdgaag · #8 07-26-2007, 10:29 AM

You're right, might be an underpair since Hero checked the turn. I'd never check this turn and my thinking was off.

monkeymaps · #9 07-26-2007, 10:31 AM

I think this is ok agianst this player in this situation. There arent alot of better hands he can have other than like kT-AK or a set your behind. But in general im not a fan of this play just seems very FPS. Unless you have a read that these villians a very predictable and easy to pick up pots on most flops then why would you want to raise OOP preflop like this?

Gorgias · #10 07-26-2007, 10:55 AM

grunch

Villain overbets the pot on the turn...that is a bad sign for TPNK. He wouldn't have called the flop bet with a heart draw but might have done it (without really having the odds) with a spade draw.

I do not think his allin overbet on the turn is a FD, unless he's a maniac. He'd be much better off taking the free card. Besides, the K is a very scary card to try to pull that move on, I think he's more likely to try it with a weaker card. I think he'd do this with AA, KK, KQ, KJ...all of which crush you. I think a fold makes sense.