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  #11  
Old 07-21-2007, 12:57 PM
qpw qpw is offline
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Default Re: guessing cards

Assuming you didn't do anything so baroque as guessing either of his cards were the same as the ones you held:

There are 50 unknown cards after yours are dealt so each guess would have a (4/50*4/49) chance of success = 0.6531%

Doing it twice would have a 0.004264% chance of success.

It should thus happen around 1 time in 23,500 attempts.

So if every poker player in the world tried it every day, you would expect the feat to be reproduced many times a day.
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  #12  
Old 07-21-2007, 03:53 PM
WhiteWolf WhiteWolf is offline
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Default Re: guessing cards

[ QUOTE ]

There are 50 unknown cards after yours are dealt so each guess would have a (4/50*4/49) chance of success = 0.6531%


[/ QUOTE ]
Order doesn't matter here, so multiply your value by 2.
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  #13  
Old 07-22-2007, 04:38 AM
qpw qpw is offline
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Default Re: guessing cards

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

There are 50 unknown cards after yours are dealt so each guess would have a (4/50*4/49) chance of success = 0.6531%


[/ QUOTE ]
Order doesn't matter here, so multiply your value by 2.

[/ QUOTE ]

Quite correct.

You do in fact have <u>8</u> chances in 50 of getting one of the two cards for the first selection then 4/49 of getting whichever you did not get the first time in the second.
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