NL 100 Not sure what to make of his flop lead, call river?

[NikkiSixx]

Villain is really loose preflop, but seems decent postflop - havent seen him do anything stupid, or made any big moves so far. he is running at 42, 12, 1 over 70 hands, his went to showdown so far is 28%.

Not really sure what to make of his flop lead....


i guess he could have something like Q10, which would make sens or a weak king, like K10...
Hands like KJ or a set might of course to be part of his range, but his line just seems so weird having these, unless he planned on checkraising turn...
You think it´s ok to look him up on river??? or should I just fold...what do u think he takes this line with?

Prima Network No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (5 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

SB ($98.80)
BB ($99.00)
UTG ($226.81)
MP ($59.04)
Hero ($110.05)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
UTG calls $1, MP calls $1, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $4</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG calls $3, MP calls $3.

Flop: ($13.50) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $13.5</font>, MP folds, Hero calls $13.50.

Turn: ($40.50) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero checks.

River: ($40.50) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $40.5</font>, Hero????.

[FishSticks]

Does he always bet pot?

This is close. I could see air/KQ/AT/QT. I could see KJ/22 even AA/KK/JJ given his donkish preflop tendancies. Did he jam river instantly like he missed a turn checkraise? My gut says fold.

[Unknown Soldier]

i cant fold this

[Kilillan]

I'm so tempted to call

every draw missed

[NikkiSixx]

He hasn´t been leading out like that in previos hands, and he doesn´t pot every time, I just really scratched my head on this one, he insta potted both the flop and river. It´s really weird, my gut told me he was strong as hell on flop but all logic told me wtf...on turn I had a feeling he would wanna checkraise me, and also I felt like using some pot control, hopping to take it to showdown. I normally call this river I think, after checking behind on turn, but here were he instapotted????

[cs3]

[ QUOTE ]
I'm so tempted to call

every draw missed


[/ QUOTE ]
but what draws can he realistically have? exactly QT? i doubt this villain would ever donk the flop full pot with an OESD.




looks more like a missed ch/r from KJ or 22. and i wouldnt be surprised to see even JJ-AA from this donk either. as played i think river is a fold

i would rather bet/fold the turn for like $26, and if he calls the turn, then check behind on river if he checks. if he calls turn and shoves river its a fold.

[NikkiSixx]

I checked behind on turn also hoping to get some value out of Kx, but I agree betting turn makes the hand a lot easier to play. And yeah I agree betting pot with a draw on that flop and with that potzize on flop seems very weird.

Anyway about the result, I requested extra time, and really wanted to look him up, but he just felt so damn strong even though the line felt weird, that I finally just folded, feeling kinda weak for not looking him up...

[deaders]

wow especially once you check the turn you cant fold this.

[MDoranD]

bet more preflop. Like $6

as played...call river

[Roger Mainfield]

I call, from his point of view you don't look that strong, and he has no reason to believe you will call a full pot bet. I.E your hand is underreped, and you easily could have induced by checking the turn.