#1
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flopped set, lots of action
no read on the cutoff, but the button is 29/21/2.8 after 120 hands
PokerStars 1/2 Hold'em (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com Preflop: Hero is UTG with 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO calls, Button calls, SB calls, BB calls. Flop: (10 SB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font> SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button 3-bets</font>, SB folds, BB folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero caps</font>, CO calls, Button calls. Turn: (11 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, CO calls, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, CO folds, Button calls. River: (18 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, Button calls. Final Pot: 20 BB |
#2
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Re: flopped set, lots of action
Looks fine I think. A9s, 66. Probably reraises nines.
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#3
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Re: flopped set, lots of action
Turn 3-bet is spew. LAG/TAG coldcalls on the button and gives huge action on 679 flop. Thats 66, 99 or T8s.
River doesnt matter. He has 66 or 99 and is scared of AA. If you bet he will call and if you check he will bet. 1 bet goes in regardless. Your EV of the river bet equals the probability he has 66. Edit: Missed A9s. Turn 3-bet is stil spew IMO. 2 combos of A9s + 3 combos of 66 against 3 combos of 99 + 4 combos of T8s. Dunno which to discount but I guess 99 is a 3-bet preflop for this guy |
#4
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Re: flopped set, lots of action
If his range is 66/99/T8s/A9s the turn 3-bet isn't spew as you're 50/50 either 2 or 3 ways. This guy has "2+2" stats so I think nines have to be discounted and T8s definitely has to be discounted.
Nvm not 50/50 exactly as less combos of A9s. My comments still hold though. EDIT 3: A8s also falls in line with his play and should be considered. |
#5
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Re: flopped set, lots of action
[ QUOTE ]
If his range is 66/99/T8s/A9s the turn 3-bet isn't spew as you're 50/50 either 2 or 3 ways. This guy has "2+2" stats so I think nines have to be discounted and T8s definitely has to be discounted. Nvm not 50/50 exactly as less combos of A9s. My comments still hold though. [/ QUOTE ] I read hands well... Missed that CO was still in there which obviously makes 3-betting a lot better. My bad! |
#6
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Re: flopped set, lots of action
nothing wrong here,u get maximum value
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#7
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Re: flopped set, lots of action
This is fine as you are getting 2-1 on every bet and your equity is much better than that. Third player is probably drawing live so don't worry about keeping him in.
7 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] is a possible hand for Button. From his perspective KK-TT and 88 are good possibilities for Hero. It's not until you 3-bet the turn that a typical 1/2 LAG-TAG will realize he's screwed. |
#8
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Re: flopped set, lots of action
[ QUOTE ]
This is fine as you are getting 2-1 on every bet and your equity is much better than that. Third player is probably drawing live so don't worry about keeping him in. 7 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] is a possible hand for Button. From his perspective KK-TT and 88 are good possibilities for Hero. It's not until you 3-bet the turn that a typical 1/2 LAG-TAG will realize he's screwed. [/ QUOTE ] 30-20's call UTG raises with T8s, and 67s? |
#9
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Re: flopped set, lots of action
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] If his range is 66/99/T8s/A9s the turn 3-bet isn't spew as you're 50/50 either 2 or 3 ways. This guy has "2+2" stats so I think nines have to be discounted and T8s definitely has to be discounted. Nvm not 50/50 exactly as less combos of A9s. My comments still hold though. [/ QUOTE ] I read hands well... Missed that CO was still in there which obviously makes 3-betting a lot better. My bad! [/ QUOTE ] Yeah I think we have to 3bet the turn here with the other guy in the pot. I would also like to point out that many 30-20's will have precisely one hand here: 66. So theres no need to worry just yet. 3betting the turn for protection and value getting potentially 2-1 on our money is the play here IMO. |
#10
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Re: flopped set, lots of action
8T and 99 are like never in a 30/21 playesr range here unless they misclicked preflop.
I 3-bet and probabily checkraise a rag river... You may think this is spewing, but I think it's way more likely he would overplay 66 than have 99 or T8 in his range. |
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