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#1
03-02-2006, 03:57 PM
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($33) Bubble, AJ vs. SB push
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (4 handed) converter
UTG (t2850) Button (t4980) SB (t3280) Hero (t2390) Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to t3380</font> I'm having difficulty with this hand. SB has been mostly folding in this situation but has mixed in a few raises. This is the first time he has pushed in this situation however. I am not desperate here but feel my hand may be good. Is this a call or fold? 
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#2
03-02-2006, 04:19 PM
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Re: ($33) Bubble, AJ vs. SB push
Fold, AJ is not a great hand to be calling with on the bubble when you still have plenty of FE.
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#3
03-02-2006, 04:22 PM
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Re: ($33) Bubble, AJ vs. SB push
This is very read-dependant. If SB is a push-botter who knows ICM well, then this is a call. But from what you've said about him folding his SB a number of times recently, you should probably lay this down.
It's only a +EV call if he's pushing 22+,A2+,K7o+,K4s+,QTo+,Q9s+,JTs or more. If you feel like he's in that range or tighter, lay it down. It's also important to consider that you still have about 11xBBs after a laydown here, so you're in fine shape.
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#5
03-02-2006, 04:25 PM
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Re: ($33) Bubble, AJ vs. SB push
[ QUOTE ]
This is very read-dependant. If SB is a push-botter who knows ICM well, then this is a call. But from what you've said about him folding his SB a number of times recently, you should probably lay this down. It's only a +EV call if he's pushing 22+,A2+,K7o+,K4s+,QTo+,Q9s+,JTs or more. If you feel like he's in that range or tighter, lay it down. It's also important to consider that you still have about 11xBBs after a laydown here, so you're in fine shape. [/ QUOTE ] A pushbotter that knows ICM well is not pushing that many hands at a 33. That's pure suicide with the general calling range of an unknown 33er.
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#6
03-02-2006, 04:44 PM
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Re: ($33) Bubble, AJ vs. SB push
[ QUOTE ]
A pushbotter that knows ICM well is not pushing that many hands at a 33. That's pure suicide with the general calling range of an unknown 33er. [/ QUOTE ] [wild overgeneralization]i think that the calling ranges on the bubble, even at stakes as low as 33, are still disproportionately tight. [/wild overgeneralization] that being said, let's say that we were a pushboptter who knew ICM well, thinking as if we were small blind. if BB's calling range was (liberally) 44+,A7s+,A9o+,KJs+, it would still be +EV to push with any two here. so yeah the range is pretty wide.
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#10
03-05-2006, 03:14 AM
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Re: ($33) Bubble, AJ vs. SB push
I agree with the poster that mentioned read-dependent.... if he has been folding in the SB a lot, and then suddenly pushes all in, then he sounds pretty serious. You can wait for a better situation on the bubble where you are pushing yourself, not calling an all-in for your stack (and a bubble finish).
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