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Old 07-16-2007, 12:13 PM
tagWAG tagWAG is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 49
Default EV calcs heads-up on the turn

Jared's heads up river spreadsheet is really excellent
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showfl...e=0#Post5276468

Has anyone had a go at creating something similar for heads up turn play - basically an EV calculator of rival lines.

For instance, here's a bunch of parameters to factor in if we are in position facing a check on the turn, borrowed from an old Cartman post:

[ QUOTE ]

CURRENT POT BEFORE THE TURN BETTING
OUR ESTIMATED OUTS WHEN WE ARE BEHIND
HIS ESTIMATED OUTS WHEN WE ARE AHEAD
PROBABILITY HE WILL BLUFF THE RIVER UNIMPROVED IF WE CHECK
GIVEN THAT HE CHECKRAISES, PROBABILITY HE HAS A WORSE HAND
GIVEN THAT HE CHECKRAISES, OUR ESTIMATED OUTS
PROBABLILITY HE HAS A BETTER HAND THAT HE WILL JUST CALL
WITH IF WE BET
PROBABILITY HE HAS A WORSE HAND THAT HE WILL JUST CALL WITH IF WE BET
PROBABILITY HE HAS A WORSE HAND THAT HE WILL FOLD IF WE BET
PROBABILITY HE HAS A HAND THAT HE WILL CHECKRAISE WITH IF WE BET


[/ QUOTE ]
Do you have simplified models that you use to check things out? How much math do the best players use?

I'm love to know how math savvy players go about analyzing away from the tables - especially some of these heads up turn situations which seem really important.

Do you create your own models - or just throw interesting stuff into poker stove?
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  #2  
Old 07-16-2007, 01:17 PM
yourface yourface is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Canada
Posts: 3,457
Default Re: EV calcs heads-up on the turn

as far as I go is doing sklansky style EV calcs and using poker stove to fill in the numbers. mostly for figuring out whether I can peel one off profitably on the flop or turn

I don't do that very often though, mostly I just screw around with poker stove to figure out my equity in different situations
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