Go for the draw???

[honker]

Live game Dubuque Iowa 2/5 NL

Hero in BB- 1200 LAG
UTG - 350 no read, only dealt 10 hands.
MP- 400 Tight/Passive

UTG - Has only played about one round.
MP Calls- tight player who folds too many hands and usually shows only the nuts.
Hero- I have been playing well, up 900 from buy-in.

UTG- raises to 15- typical raise in this game
MP- calls
Hero- K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]9 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] call, loose I know
FLop Ace[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]j [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]2 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
UTG- makes it 50 to go
MP raises to 100
Hero- calls- I am thinking great position and nut draw
UTG- all in (285 more)( I had him on aces until MP folded,l I then put him on trip jacks which is correct
MP- folds but takes a while I am putting him on ACE/KING- which ends up being correct.
Hero- ???There is now 580 in the pot, I must call 235. If we only consider the nut flush draw this is an easy call- my question is how much influence do you put on the read of trips which severly changes pot/odds/ implied odds?
I will post results later.

[TNUC]

you need to pokerstove it.

[runstop]

You're getting odds even if he does have a set.

board: AsJc2s
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
Ks9s 25.56% 2,277 0
AA,JJ,22 74.44% 6,633 0

Throw in some other hands (AK,AQ,AJ) and you now have an easy call.