4/180 - All in on a OESD

All_In_Olly · #1 07-07-2007, 08:10 AM

Villain was 25/1/0 over 12, had been raising from the button/CO in both orbits I'd been at the table with him.

I had been playing very tight and somewhat aggressive.

I planned to reraise him with ATC if tried to steal and was surprised when he called.
With that flop and given pot size relative to my stack I go AI because I think folding equity & my 8 outs (or maybe more) makes it +eV.

At the time I didn't bother putting him on a range but now I think a lot of his potential holdings have hit on that flop.

Thoughts?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (8 handed) internettexasholdem.com

SB (t6640)
Hero (t6393)
UTG (t13296)
UTG+1 (t4860)
MP1 (t3285)
MP2 (t12695)
CO (t3279)
Button (t9145)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
5 folds, Button raises to t600, 1 fold, Hero raises to t1800, Button calls t1200.

Flop: (t3700) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets t4593 (All-In)

JoaoPinto · #2 07-07-2007, 08:37 AM

If your re stealing pre flop I'd shove rather than pop to 1800. You left a big stack calling 1200 into 2500.

As played he flop shove is fine.

Jack-in-a-box · #3 07-07-2007, 09:02 AM

Lol. Played well. Reraise to 2000-2200 preflop.

Pokerfarian · #4 07-07-2007, 12:39 PM

A stack size of 6.3K facing a 600 raise is a very crappy size to resteal with. Whether you shove or make some standard raise to ~2.2K your committed to getting all your chips in preflop, which makes the risk:reward ratio fairly bad. Therefore, I prefer to just call preflop (I'd shove with a 4K stack).
As played the flop is an easy shove, his range is still pretty wide since by trippling the bet you gave him over 2-1 to call in position, I think he calls it fairly light. So he's folding to a shove on that flop >>>>>30% of the time, which is enough to make it +EV

JARID · #5 07-07-2007, 12:49 PM

Raise to 2k-2.2k. That will get more folds and when called set up 80%-pot size bet on the flop. As played your push was kind of an over shove which looks weak/drawish.

Since your stack is abit to big for a push pf and a re-raise practically forces you to plan for stacks if you go to the flop I would probably call pf and take it from there.

Once you flop the OESD you should play it aggressively. Stacks would be good for a lead bet/three bet AI or you could check raise.

PantsOnFire · #6 07-07-2007, 01:55 PM

You pot equity is at least 32%. You are risking 4600 to win 4600+pot which requires 55% equity. So you need 23% fold equity. Your Q and J may be outs. Given his position raise, I think this is a good play.

nemui · #7 07-07-2007, 08:39 PM

given this situation, i would do it