Value bet or check this river?

[AshleyC]

Villan is 33/12/0.78

I'd obv hate to be raised here so is c/c or b/f better?

Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

UTG ($81.40)
MP ($103.15)
CO ($104.90)
Button ($165.75)
SB ($25.05)
Hero ($100)

Preflop: Hero is BB with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $3.5</font>, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $11</font>, UTG calls $7.50.

Flop: ($22.50) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $15</font>, UTG calls $15.

Turn: ($52.50) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, UTG checks.

River: ($52.50) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, UTG checks.

Final Pot: $52.50

If I bet, how much?

[Casper05]

yep, 33

[Anycall]

ya i like betting 2/3 of pot for value.

[loosbastard]

[ QUOTE ]
yep, 33

[/ QUOTE ]

[big dummy]

[ QUOTE ]
Villan is 33/12/0.78

[/ QUOTE ]

At 0.7, you know that a raise will be a flush, and it'll be reasonably easy to get away from. But if you check and he bets, what are you going to do? Fold a split-pot?

So I'd call it a value/blocking bet - about $20

[Lego05]

I would bet about 2/3 pot (you could still get called by a pair of K's, 2 pair, another J) and fold to a raise.


Disclaimer: 50NL regular.

[BevillTheDevil]

given stack sizes it makes it a tough b/f spot IMO, maybe if we bet like 1/2psb. But if we do bet like 2/3 pot and villian pushs we would be gettin pretty good odds so i dunno if i could fold. And I dunno if villian is callin a 2/3ish river bet much here given how drawy the board is. I think i might bet a little less than like 1/2, a villian w/ a AF .78 will probably call such a small bet w/ a large range and probably doesnt raise w/ anything we beat and if he/she does this smaller river bet makes it easyer to fold IMO. Also I dont like a c/c mostly b/c of how passive villian is.

[mce86]

That would be a check-call in my opinion. I doubt he's betting here. You rivered him, why would he bet? Plus, only caller your gonna get is those that have ya beat, which is none. Better off picking off the bluffers.

[mce86]

Missed the pf aggression level. Id bet about 30

[AshleyC]

Close I think, he checked behind with AK.