Bottom set (99 9AQ) in 3bet pot vs TAG

[suited77]

This was played by a friend of mine. Here's what he posted on another forum. It generated quite a discussion over there, so I told him I would post it in 2+2 b/c we have quite a few good regular posters (hero is a ~26/22 lag)

As posted:
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I have been sitting at this table for about 5 hours and it is filled with all solid players. I have never experienced a table like this before at this casino, everyone plays TAG and is good. I had been trying to get floor to move me with no avail for a long time. Villain is a standard TAG, does not seem to do anything too tricky, he is capable of floating and pouncing on weakness and laying down good hands to the right board. We have not tangoed too much but when he did he took down a big pot from me with a straight against my trips. I have been playing a lot of hands fast and got called on a big turn over push with top pair+nut flush draw and I sucked out hitting two pair on the river (my kicker was beat for top pair). I know he is good enough to pick up on my playing patterns.

Blinds 2/2 9 handed effective stacks $175

Hero has 99 UTG and raises to $10
folded to MP1 who reraises to $25

Now I had seen villain re-raise once with AA and another time with QQ. I put his range on something like AK+ JJ+. Even though he is solid I do not see him doing this without a really good hand. I call becasue I figure I can set hunt.


Pot is around $50
Flop comes As 9s Qd

Money!!! I hit my set. My line is.........
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[TheSalche]

C/R and call his push.

[theflyingcow]

Any reasoning that you'd prefer c/raising the flop over bet/3-bet-shove or donking the flop and c/raising AI the turn?

[thizzSantaCruz]

This is my hand. I just created an account so I can add to the thread. After the hand happened, I think donking into opponenet might have been a very good idea, but at the time I went for the std check/raise and was hoping to push over a raise
.

Villain checked behind after my flop check, and the turn falls the 7d. Now what do I do?

[theflyingcow]

[ QUOTE ]
This is my hand. I just created an account so I can add to the thread. After the hand happened, I think donking into opponenet might have been a very good idea, but at the time I went for the std check/raise and was hoping to push over a raise
.

Villain checked behind after my flop check, and the turn falls the 7d. Now what do I do?

[/ QUOTE ]

Okay, well now we clearly have to look for another way to get the money in. Assuming that he's not one of the types of players that will check a set of aces or queens on the flop or something, we should almost always lead this turn. The most likely holding I'd have our villian on is KK wanting to get to showdown and going for pot control so he can call 2 streets. I don't see a reason why AK would not bet this flop. Bet 3/4 pot turn and if called, 1/3-1/2 pot river for value vs KK.