#1
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5/10, Easy Overcall?
SB is a 22.7/17.1/2.65 regular. He's allright, pretty straight forward. MP is a 57.8/18/1.27 station. How often does he bet twice into a multiway pot with hands I beat (and he likely knows the fish is calling if he has at least TP)?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $10 BB (6 handed) internettexasholdem.com Button ($1067) SB ($2070) BB ($3045) UTG ($1926) MP ($4745.10) Hero ($2015) Preflop: Hero is CO with 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls $10, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $40</font>, Button calls $40, SB calls $35, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls $30. Flop: ($170) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> SB checks, MP checks, Hero checks, Button checks. Turn: ($170) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets $111</font>, MP calls $111, Hero calls $111, Button folds. River: ($503) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets $300</font>, MP calls $300, Hero ?? Final Pot: $1103 |
#2
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Re: 5/10, Easy Overcall?
but on the flip side, the main villain can figure you for a missed draw and be vbetting fairly light vs the fish. he might even see a bet with 2 pair as a 2-way bet to fold you out and vbet vs villain. you also have fishy beat close to 100% here, so it's not as scary as a lot of oovercalls.
you're going to usually lose, but the pot odds are pretty damn good. |
#3
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Re: 5/10, Easy Overcall?
I don't like this spot very much at all, I really can't see the regular having a worse hand than you often enough to warrant a call. He has to be concerned after two of you call 2/3 pot from him on the turn. SB may have a hand like KdJd. Even if he is occasionally betting light due to the station, you probably lose here pretty often.
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#4
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Re: 5/10, Easy Overcall?
[ QUOTE ]
I don't like this spot very much at all, I really can't see the regular having a worse hand than you often enough to warrant a call. He has to be concerned after two of you call 2/3 pot from him on the turn. SB may have a hand like KdJd. Even if he is occasionally betting light due to the station, you probably lose here pretty often. [/ QUOTE ] come on, the fish raises any flush. |
#5
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Re: 5/10, Easy Overcall?
Yes, the fish does, however most of my post discussed the probability of the SB, the 22/17 regular, having a flush. I can't imagine how the "straightforward" regular who called $40 preflop has two pair on a board of Q7348?
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#6
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Re: 5/10, Easy Overcall?
I can't imagine folding here and raising seems like a massive spew.`
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#7
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Re: 5/10, Easy Overcall?
i think it's very close since you only have to be good 22% of the time to make it neutral EV
that being said, i don't see what hand villain has that you can beat other than a weirdly played AQ or a slowplayed 33. |
#8
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Re: 5/10, Easy Overcall?
i doubt very much the reg has 2 pair here. maybe 43s. thats about it. the fish never has a flush here, likely has some Qx , 99-JJ, or 2pair.
i would think 56 and sets are also in the reg's range. |
#9
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Re: 5/10, Easy Overcall?
[ QUOTE ]
I can't imagine folding here and raising seems like a massive spew.` [/ QUOTE ] im definitely not raising. |
#10
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Re: 5/10, Easy Overcall?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I can't imagine folding here and raising seems like a massive spew.` [/ QUOTE ] im definitely not raising. [/ QUOTE ] I agree because its terrible but you have a set and you need to be good like one in 5 times.` |
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