$12T: Iffy call on the bubble

[GAMB00L]

I'm certain that villain is making this push with any two cards. This bubble had been going on for quite a while (five blind-levels) and he had pushed my BB at every opportunity since four-handed play began. To my surprise, SNGWiz still likes a fold. When I adjust villain's range to 99%+, it puts this call at -0.24%.

Is this one of those times to take a -ev risk because a better opportunity might not come? I'm the short stack with less than five BBs and I have nearly a quarter of my stack in the blinds. Folding with the intention of pushing ATC the next deal is problematic because villain has open-pushed half his hands since taking the chiplead. And by the time I'm UTG again, blinds will have reached t600 and the bigstack will have huge pot odds for a call from the BB. The other shorties might tangle with the bigstack, but I doubt it; they've been uber tight and seem content to wait it out.

So whaddya say? Go against SNGWiz and call, or listen to it and fold? Remember, I have almost no doubt that villain is pushing ATC.

Full Tilt Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t500 (4 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

Hero (t2234)
UTG (t3132)
Button (t2380)
SB (t5754)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to t5754 (All-In)</font>, Hero...

[Maksymilian]

Against two random cards which villain likely has, ace rag is a monster. I make my stand here. Sngwiz cannot take into account that you will have no chance to push first until you re critically shortstacked. Besides, ace rag rules on Full Tilt

[Jimmy James]

I like to be the pusher, not the caller in these situations. I'd say fold. You have 2 more hands now coming for free. Look to push one of those.

[RexWoo]

trust sngwiz