Re: Felt the overpair?
My image had been pretty tight at the table, but I hadn't had anything to work with all night, so no one had seen how I played in a big pot. I had showed down a large bluff on the river 3 hours earlier, but I felt that he made that move with the knowledge that I probably had an over pair and the expectation that I would put all my chips in if I did. Taking all this into account, I folded. If I had it to do over again, I would have probably put the money in just because of the excellent pot odds and the off chance that he had a smaller pair or was on a bluff or semi-bluff. The problem was that I didn't put him on the flush draw or a small pair, as he had shown a willingness to cold call with medium strength hands and draws on the flop and rely on his reads on the turn. However, this was a nice sized pot to move in on with a live draw, so it can't be ruled out. Afer I folded, he showed the ace of spades, which means he either had A3s, A7s, AA, or was completely bluffing with overs. Funny enough, I actually think AA fits his line here best, though A3 works well too. I'm certain that he would've smooth called with AA in that spot preflop, knowing I would probably throw away anything less than kings to a reraise from him. AA matches the betting the best on the flop as well. My $100 represented exactly the type of hand I had... an overpair of some kind, and he decided his best chance to get my entire stack was with one bet on a dry flop that virtually forced me to come along. A7 was not a hand I expected to be in his calling range, so that is the most unlikely. That means the only thing I beat was overcards. Having seen the As I think the fold looks better, as all draws and lower pairs are pretty much ruled out.
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