2/4 draw to 4 outer?

[Ricks]

SB: 50/30/1.5/100 WSD 44%
Notes: opened 73s in MP, more than once has fired all UI HU.

UTG: 42/2/.5/90 WSD 45%
Notes: donked turn w trips hu, just called QQ in BB vs SB steal

BTN: 41/22/1.3/150 WSD 50%
Notes: 3bet flop w A high HU , little spewy

I am most likely getting 7.5:1 to call with my 4 outer but I am not last to act. Is a call justified?

Should I bet this flop?



Poker Stars
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $2/$4
6 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
UTG calls, UTG+1 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises</font>, Button calls, SB calls, BB folds, UTG calls.

Flop: 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (9SB, 4 players)
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">Button bets</font>, <font color="#cc0000">SB raises</font>, UTG calls, <font color="blue"> Hero ?? </font>

[yourface]

instamuck

[nickg1532]

fold

[Leader]

[ QUOTE ]
instamuck

[/ QUOTE ]

[milesdyson]

it's probably a call. it's not terribly likely that button 3-bets but if he does your implied odds go up. if he doesn't 3-bet, you'll already make enough turning a T to make it a profitable call.

you'll get 7.5:1 on a 10.5:1 shot. UTG almost always calls the turn after coldcalling on this flop, and your relative position is great vs. SB.

probable turn action: SB bets, UTG calls, you raise, button folds or calls, SB and UTG call. +4 or more.

probable river action: SB and UTG check call your bet. +2 (more if button stays)

you end up at 13.5:1.

if you tell me about fullhouse redraws, then i'll tell you that you're winning a lot more than 4 bets on the turn.

[DCWildcat]

Wow I call this all day long. We've got implied odds out the wazoo with these opponents (note WSD).