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  #21  
Old 05-29-2007, 10:41 PM
Roman Roman is offline
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Default Re: 25/50 DEEP - why is HE doing all the betting and the shoving?!?

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Like if this were me against you I feel like I could push that river and quite possibly get called by your 99, no?

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250 bb deep??? no.


QQ is almost never pushing for value and a lot of people wont with KK
James

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too metagame dependent to say imo
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  #22  
Old 05-29-2007, 10:42 PM
Lefort Lefort is offline
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Default Re: 25/50 DEEP - why is HE doing all the betting and the shoving?!?

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too metagame dependent to say imo

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Yeah true, I guess I'm just imagining this as a hand between me and Krantz...
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  #23  
Old 05-30-2007, 12:28 AM
TxRedMan TxRedMan is offline
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Default Re: 25/50 DEEP - why is HE doing all the betting and the shoving?!?

wow this is kind of sick. you can't raise the flop, and raising the turn seems awkward b/c if you raise to like $5K and he shoves it seems like a turbo muck.

i think it's a fold w/o a lot of history between the two of you. i think when he's bluffing he's bluffing w/ Ah so that leads me to believe he's not bluffing as often as you need him to be to call here.

still i wonder if raising the turn is correct here given stack sizes.
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  #24  
Old 05-30-2007, 12:48 AM
MYNAMEIZGREG MYNAMEIZGREG is offline
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Default Re: 25/50 DEEP - why is HE doing all the betting and the shoving?!?

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He's either bluffing or full/nut-flushed. I really don't think he can make this bet for value with less than nut flush. Sure, one can theoretically merge their range and value bluff and whatnot with AA to get called by KK or to get a small flush to fold or whatever, but in practice I think you very rarely see that bet. I think this is a big hand or total air the vast vast majority of the time and most people don't have the stones to do this 250bb deep with total air. I'd fold.

edit: And if it's air, it's going to often be AhXo which he won't be DEALT that often, so that really cuts down on the frequency with which he's bluffing here. If his range is JJ, AhXh, AhXo then you dont have odds to call. Especially assuming he plays more suited aces preflop than unsuited ones. And that he won't bluff 100% of the time he has air here.

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I really love your post here and barring some player specific read/tendencies I'm with you.
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  #25  
Old 05-30-2007, 01:00 AM
EmpireMaker2 EmpireMaker2 is offline
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Default Re: 25/50 DEEP - why is HE doing all the betting and the shoving?!?

This is like the closet hand ive ever seen i prolly close my eyes and call......
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  #26  
Old 05-30-2007, 01:31 AM
Ssmoimo Ssmoimo is offline
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Default Re: 25/50 DEEP - why is HE doing all the betting and the shoving?!?

Maybe I'm missing something here but...

You raise with 45s then you got RERAISED a large amount and called. Then the board came with a pair in it and you called a bet that wasn't giving you odds for your flush, especially when its not the nut flush or even a good flush. What the heck are you doing?
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  #27  
Old 05-30-2007, 01:32 AM
KRANTZ KRANTZ is offline
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Default Re: 25/50 DEEP - why is HE doing all the betting and the shoving?!? *DELETED*

Post deleted by Yeti
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  #28  
Old 05-30-2007, 01:33 AM
MDMA MDMA is offline
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Default Re: 25/50 DEEP - why is HE doing all the betting and the shoving?!?

Those are some great points, SSmoimo.
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  #29  
Old 05-30-2007, 01:36 AM
Lefort Lefort is offline
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Default Re: 25/50 DEEP - why is HE doing all the betting and the shoving?!?

[ QUOTE ]
Maybe I'm missing something here but...

You raise with 45s then you got RERAISED a large amount and called. Then the board came with a pair in it and you called a bet that wasn't giving you odds for your flush, especially when its not the nut flush or even a good flush. What the heck are you doing?

[/ QUOTE ]

FullTiltPoker.net... Table "Sahara"...
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  #30  
Old 05-30-2007, 01:42 AM
Ssmoimo Ssmoimo is offline
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Default Re: 25/50 DEEP - why is HE doing all the betting and the shoving?!?

How does being a coach not make you a donk? I guess I am still missing something. I can't see any logic or reason to playing the hand the way you did, maybe you were just on tilt or thinking you were going to get lucky.
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