AS-Something Game Thread

[fmxda]

Seer without n0 peek gets half as many peeks so list should be divided 2:1

Luckay, that strategy with the list of 6 players omits the possibility that they might be better than average wolf-finders, or good at endgames (not saying they are, and especially not because I'm on the list [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img])

Actually if I had to lynch right now with no information I'd go with a low content poster like AS8 or FCBL, or an unknown like ATrebek, flsc, or TheSmell.

[fmxda]

[ QUOTE ]
It is a random vote with NEGATIVE EV implications, because ASPoker is above average easy enough to read. Also, he gets eaten an above average amount of times.

[/ QUOTE ]
Okay, I'm not sure when first votes EVER had EV implications... but I disagree with your approach that we should lynch people who are hard to read. I think the criteria should be more of a "how helpful they are as a villager" vs "how deadly they are as a wolf" metric. Your ability to read them is just variance IMO (of course reducing variance is always good if possible).

[fmxda]

Damnit I have a seven page paper due by 5pm. This thread is going to kill my productivity =x

You guys think I have the willpower to not look at this thread ever again until 5pm?? Somehow I doubt it

[LuckayLuck]

[ QUOTE ]
I think the criteria should be more of a "how helpful they are as a villager" vs "how deadly they are as a wolf" metric.

[/ QUOTE ]

I disagree. The criteria should basically boil down to:


On day 1:

* Don't lynch very helpful villagers
* Don't lynch people the village, in general, can read
* Don't lynch people who commonly die in seer hunts by wolves

* DO lynch people who aren't readable and don't get eaten often


How deadly someone is as a wolf should not play into the calculation (because it's too hard)


In other news, this got me thinking: If everyone would just say "Okay guys, I can read this particular guy like 100%. If he's a villager or a wolf, I'll know" and we got a mass buddy system going, we could just lynch the odd-men out, then we could lynch everyone who's wrong about their buddy

//end crazy theory

[LuckayLuck]

ok guys, I need to go to sleep before the birds start chirping. Because when the birds start chirping, going to sleep is hard.

I'll be back around 6 PM EST! 'Holla!
I hope there's a bandwagon on Nich when I get back!

[Zurvan]

[ QUOTE ]


Okay guys, this was all pretty extreme philosophy, Zurvan / MDD is going to come in here and call all this rambling "complete garbage", Kyro is doing the face-in-palm thing, but whatever


[/ QUOTE ]

I have a few good FYP's here, but they probably aren't necessary. Hell, I don't even have to say most of what I'm thinking, Luckay took care of it for me.

[fmxda]

By the way, the real lists the seers should pick out of:

n0, n1, n2... Seer:
AS8
ATrebek
Boiler
DMK
Dustin
Eskimo
FCBL
Flsc
FMX
Herbie
Jack Bando
JaredL
JCool
Luckay

n1, n3, n5... Seer:
MDoranD
NichP
Patton
Spook
TheSmell
Tokyo
Zurvan

[LuckayLuck]

[ QUOTE ]
By the way, the real lists the seers should pick out of:

n0, n1, n2... Seer:
AS8
ATrebek
Boiler
DMK
Dustin
Eskimo
FCBL
Flsc
FMX
Herbie
Jack Bando
JaredL
JCool
Luckay

n1, n3, n5... Seer:
MDoranD
NichP
Patton
Spook
TheSmell
Tokyo
Zurvan

[/ QUOTE ]

yes, to clarify any confusion, I feel like this should be the split

it's additionally good because I think there are enough good peeks on the bottom list to make up for the small list of names

[fmxda]

If who you want to survive is a group of villagers who can read each other better than average, then yes I agree.

That involves lynching people who are not good at reading as a villager, or those who are good at faking a good village game.

If you have trouble reading these people maybe you should be the one lynched [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]