AJ Facing All-in Re-raise - Call or Fold

[Chicos75]

$10 + $1 MTT
Nearing the Money Bubble

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t600 (9 handed) internettexasholdem.com

Button (t5920)
SB (t15577)
BB (t6465)
UTG (t13978)
UTG+1 (t14245)
MP1 (t19535)
Hero (t13086)
MP3 (t2127)
CO (t11063)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t1800</font>, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to t6415</font>, Hero is Getting 2-1 Odds but Could be Dominated

[fuzz66]

reads

[Chicos75]

He was not out of line from what I remember.

[fuzz66]

i think im folding here. without much info i think the risk of being dom.is too big. would he push here with 66-99? i think if i opened from, lets say the CO or later im calling, but here i dont think this is a good spot IMHO.

[Village Idiot]

Hero is not getting 2-1.
BB is effectively all in for his last 6465.
SB is in for 300.
Hero raised to 1800.
There is 8565 in the pot. Hero has to call 4665.
Hero is getting a little over 1.8-1 to call.

Hero needs approx. 36% to make this a +Ev call.
Villains range would have to be likem this to make this call correct.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 36.166% 35.29% 00.88% 54383637 1350653.00 { AdJh }
Hand 1: 63.834% 62.96% 00.88% 97022417 1350653.00 { 33+, AQs+, AQo+ }

If you think he is pushing into a pre flop raiser with at least this wide of a range I insta call.
If his range is tighter than this this is a fold.

This range is probably too tight considering his stack size so I most likely call.

[Andynan]

We dont see a weaker ace here almost never, he has 10BB left and your raise doesnt really look like a steal, I'd say hes on 88+, AQ+. But why push with 33-88 when he can stop and go profitably on any non ace flop ? I fold without more reads.

[Rocco]

FOLD! Unless Villain is crazy, you're behind here. He/She probably doesn't view your raise as a steal and he/she knows the FE is close to zero. Give Villain creds for a nice hand and fold.