Go for Overcall? -- 50NL

[Kasane]

I'm splitting with MP or beating him. Is he going to call a raise with a K or a bd flush? Has shown some real donk tendencies, but only megadonkalatron calls a reraise. Of course, I thought he was silly enough to bet turn too. I thought I could get one of these two to put some more money in on turn...

No read on BB.

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

<font color="black">Hero (SB): $53.15</font>
BB: $39.95
UTG: $46.75
MP: $92.45
CO: $49.80
BTN: $49.75

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (6 Players)
UTG folds, MP calls $0.50, CO calls $0.50, BTN folds, Hero calls $0.25, BB checks

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($2) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (4 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $1.50</font>, BB calls $1.50, MP calls $1.50, CO folds

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($6.50) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players)
Hero checks, BB checks, MP checks

<font color="black">River:</font> ($6.50) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $6.50</font>, BB calls $6.50, <font color="red">MP raises to $13.00</font>, Hero ...

[Peter Harris]

the turn will not reduce the chances of them calling IMO. bet the turn.

I think i like overcalling there as i think if you reraise big, you'll likely get a call from an A and fold from others except an idiot with a K. you overcall, and an A chops with you and someone with a K will crying call.

It's like NLTAP - when you bet big on the river, what range of hands will call that you beat? I think here few will, but an overcall try will likely get a weaker hand to call along too.

[karlwig]

first: i'm 99.99% sure you are not beat, as the only hand would be the unlikely KK, which would probably raise pre.

if you call the river bet, you win or tie. why not raise? he might fold, but you get as much money as if you'd just call him, and as a bonus you cover your hand. the other one *might* be calling with a king also, making it extra value - a lot of people have troubles giving up kings over aces.
there's no way you're beat. if he's got the A, its a tie anyway. i really can't see ANY reason why you shouldn't raise, as it would be stupid to be afraid of KK imo. of course if you chop the pot, you'd want a guy with a K to give you some extra. I still think the raise is profitable, as the changes someone paying you off is IMO pretty big in these stakes.

i'd go all in.

nh [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[Kasane]

Karl,

I'm sure I'm not beat too. That's not the point. If I just call, BB might just call with a K as well -- and I'll make 3 bucks. If I raise, and MP calls and SB folds, I'm splitting 95% of the time. I think. But I might win an extra 25bucks or so that 5% of the time.