27 bubble vs. good regular

dipstikdave · #1 05-09-2007, 05:44 PM

villain has 6% avg roi over 10,500 hands at $19 avg buy-in. if he's pushing 50% sngpt says it's +.3% to call. does anyone like a call here?

PokerStars Tournament, Big Blind is t600 with t50 antes (4 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

CO (t3076)
Button (t2946)
SB (t3834)
Hero (t3644)

Preflop: Hero is in BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
CO raises to t3026 (All-in), Button folds, SB folds,hero?

Kevin8423 · #2 05-09-2007, 05:46 PM

Not at all. You're going to be dominated by Ax and drawings to your A against PPs very often. You don't even fair that well against other hands, definitley fold this.

Indiana · #3 05-09-2007, 05:47 PM

call here? have you lost your mother [censored] mind?

Cair Paravel · #4 05-09-2007, 05:48 PM

Ditto. You dominate nothing, are dominated by many hands, and will barely be leading if you're ahead.

dipstikdave · #5 05-09-2007, 05:51 PM

[ QUOTE ]
call here? have you lost your mother [censored] mind?

[/ QUOTE ]

yes, i have. stt's are driving me crazy.

allaboutheu · #6 05-09-2007, 05:57 PM

best case scenario has you at about ~60% favorite (i believe) to win this hand. Either that or you are in a lot of trouble. Simple fold. Easier to shove into the bb next hand

GSykes · #7 05-09-2007, 06:46 PM

Covered by most easy fold.

Finnisher · #8 05-09-2007, 07:02 PM

[ QUOTE ]
best case scenario has you at about ~60% favorite (i believe) to win this hand. Either that or you are in a lot of trouble.

[/ QUOTE ]
This is probably true but I don't see how it's important. Isn't it about what equity we have against villain's range, not the best or worst case scenarios. If villain is shoving 80% we still have about the same best and worst case scenarios but we're definitely enough ahead of his range to call. Folding is good tho.