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  #31  
Old 05-08-2007, 07:10 PM
DTrain DTrain is offline
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Default Re: Lay Down a Set?

I can understand thinking twice whenever a good tight player is interested in a hand. However, I think by the way it's played he'll likely have AK. He'll get paid here with AQ, AJ, KK, QQ by a lot of bad players. If I've seen him make bet hard out of position like this before with an A on board, I'm even more inclined to give him AK.
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  #32  
Old 05-08-2007, 07:25 PM
RiverMustelid RiverMustelid is offline
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Posts: 291
Default Re: Lay Down a Set?

OP

It is often easy to rationalise a fold when an opponents strong betting "must" mean that he has you beaten.

Given the lack of reads you are really just scared of AA - 66 may raise under the gun, but should certainly be discounted in evaluating likelihood. 99 is very unlikely to have bet the flop into the field with a card which may well have helped.

There has been a 2nd caller. I think given the level of interest in the pot, 66 would raise. Therefore, I imagine this guy is on Ax.

If this is our assumption then that gives UTG 1 AA combo, and 8 AK combos.

Also look at the bet size - full pot. If you have AA, do you pot it? After all, if people come for the ride, they are drawing to 1 out. This is the perfect spot to get the money in two steps with a $75 bet, and try and take two stacks in one.

Ok, you probably got stacked - all villains are different. But this is my thought process as to why this is an instacall.
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  #33  
Old 05-08-2007, 07:49 PM
jhill3535 jhill3535 is offline
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Default Re: Lay Down a Set?

Actually I hijacked this thread. Most of the discussion was about a hand posted about 1/3 the way down the page. A new thread was started for the OP, titled "Hijacked Thread"
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  #34  
Old 05-08-2007, 08:58 PM
bottomset bottomset is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: middleset ftw
Posts: 12,983
Default Re: Lay Down a Set?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Here is a hand I played last night that I really think I should have gotten away from on the turn

[/ QUOTE ]

ROFL

scared money?

[/ QUOTE ]

ummm....no.....

since when is making a correct fold scared money?

If he has QQ there half the time and AA-KK the other half, does this make it a call or does it make it a fold? Neither, it means that it really doesn't matter what you do, in the long run it is breakeven.

PS sorry about the hijack.

[/ QUOTE ]

ROFL

if he has QQ 50% and AA/KK the other 50% its an instant snapcall

folding in that spot would be terrible
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  #35  
Old 05-08-2007, 09:43 PM
raistlinx raistlinx is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,747
Default Re: Lay Down a Set?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Here is a hand I played last night that I really think I should have gotten away from on the turn

[/ QUOTE ]

ROFL

scared money?

[/ QUOTE ]

ummm....no.....

since when is making a correct fold scared money?

If he has QQ there half the time and AA-KK the other half, does this make it a call or does it make it a fold? Neither, it means that it really doesn't matter what you do, in the long run it is breakeven.

PS sorry about the hijack.

[/ QUOTE ]

ROFL

if he has QQ 50% and AA/KK the other 50% its an instant snapcall

folding in that spot would be terrible

[/ QUOTE ]
Read the whole thread donktard
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  #36  
Old 05-09-2007, 02:20 AM
Das Budrick Das Budrick is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: Isla Vista
Posts: 1,838
Default Re: Lay Down a Set?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Here is a hand I played last night that I really think I should have gotten away from on the turn

[/ QUOTE ]

ROFL

scared money?

[/ QUOTE ]

theres no way I could find a fold here jhill
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  #37  
Old 05-09-2007, 02:33 AM
lemming lemming is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 347
Default Re: Lay Down a Set?

If you play this hand you want to see Ax2 flop, the other dude holding Ax. So what are you waiting for?

I don't see many questionmarks here... Set over set you almost always get stacked on such boards...

For other advice, go to the BBV [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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