River checkup

[surfdoc]

I make this decision based on my read of his passivity and try to grade that based on previous hands. I try to factor in the likelihood of him ever coldcalling preflop with AA or QQ. I think the little speech is a strong enough tell in addition to it being so likely that he views my hand as QQ or AA that I just call. Yes that seems weak tight but this tell is very strong live and if he is passive I don't think he ever 3 bets KT and we basically don't beat anything else.

[tpir]

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This was the 10/20 game there. Given their coldcalling ranges I think checking is a clear mistake. You'll win on the flop more than one time in seven.

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I guess we'll just have to agree to disagree on that issue.

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Or you could produce some math that shows why your line is more profitable.... hint: you won't be able to unless you fudge the numbers and the hand ranges.

[tpir]

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can he ever have 33 ? Seems like a line he could take with 33 also.

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Cold call a preflop UTG raise with 33?

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lol.