AK hits mega draw on turn

FionnMac · #1 05-05-2007, 01:51 PM

Villain is good TAG, i have him at 22/16/2, but that's over a few months, he seems to be playing nearer 24/21/3 recently. We have been going at it over a few tables, i have had the upper hand so far so he may be getting a little frustrated, no hands shown down.

He insta-called the flop, and pretty much insta-raised the turn. I hate spots like this, anyone take a free card on the turn, and if you bet, what's your play when he raises?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

UTG ($261.92)
MP ($158.60)
CO ($505.35)
Hero ($406.30)
SB ($396)
BB ($200.90)

Preflop: Hero is Button with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
3 folds, Hero raises to $14, SB calls $12, BB calls $10.

Flop: ($42) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $31, SB calls $31, BB folds.

Turn: ($104) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $75, SB raises to $220, Hero?

nextgenneo · #2 05-05-2007, 01:57 PM

math question? looking at it right now without doing ne math in my head its a fold

wdead · #3 05-05-2007, 02:22 PM

[ QUOTE ]
math question? looking at it right now without doing ne math in my head its a call

[/ QUOTE ]

wdead · #4 05-05-2007, 02:23 PM

hero has to call 145 and there is 400 in the pot. Then there is the river...

PokerJunkie67 · #5 05-05-2007, 02:27 PM

uhh, I think you have to fold. If you both had 800 dollar starting stacks, then a call would be okay.

Goldstone · #6 05-05-2007, 02:56 PM

call

10 clean outs and you get the rest of his stack every time

plus added value from ensuing tilt

FionnMac · #7 05-05-2007, 02:59 PM

i still have no idea what the play is here...i folded cos i wasn't sure, thought it was marginally +EV at best. Can someone do the maths for me please?

JackAll · #8 05-05-2007, 03:16 PM

[ QUOTE ]
math question? looking at it right now without doing ne math in my head its a fold

[/ QUOTE ]

Do the freaking maths - it's not that hard. 12 clean outs or 18 if you consider he may have a combo draw.
18/46 = 40%.
12/46 = 26%.

It's $145 for a pot of $400 (only needing 26%) with $135 more in implied odds (only need 21% now).

Fold if you don't like money (or can't do maths).

CastlesMadeASand · #9 05-05-2007, 03:57 PM

[ QUOTE ]
call

12 clean outs and you get the rest of his stack every time

plus added value from ensuing tilt

[/ QUOTE ]

Hattifnatt · #10 05-05-2007, 04:00 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
call

12 clean outs and you get the rest of his stack every time

plus added value from ensuing tilt

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]
10