QT runner runners 2 pair

GrandMelon · #1 04-29-2007, 10:12 PM

Villain here is a passive donk running at like 31/7/.8 over a decent sample. No other reads except hes kind of a calling station. Ive been playing like 22/18 and havent been too outta line.

Call or push river?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

saw flop|saw showdown

BB ($113.60)
UTG ($64.80)
Hero ($104.15)
SB ($58.20)

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
1 fold, Hero raises to $4, SB calls $3.50, 1 fold.

Flop: ($9) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $7, SB calls $7.

Turn: ($23) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks.

River: ($23) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB bets $15, Hero?

Colombo · #2 04-29-2007, 10:20 PM

I'm betting the turn. If he's a calling station you'll definitely get value off of him. River, just stick it in. He could have 78, but random 2 pairs, missed draws, etc are much more likely.

Tyrannic · #3 04-29-2007, 10:22 PM

I agree, def. betting turn so then w. this nice river we can get it in w/ the rest of his stack.

And river as played= arrrr eeeeeeen

thesecondnuts · #4 04-29-2007, 10:23 PM

push, SB could have a very wide range of hands here. SB could have a set, but from the way it was played, it does not appear that that is the case. Hands could range from J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]10[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], or even just A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. Could also have 910.

I think pushing here is a good play. If the SB can beat your top two, they will call. If not, they will most likely fold, or you will be paid off with an inferior hand.

benlj21 · #5 04-29-2007, 10:24 PM

I actually like the turn check, the board is pretty connected. If you do bet, I think you have to bet big, at least 3/4 pot for hand protection+hoping he won't fold a lower pair. River seems like an obvious shove.

J. Stew · #6 04-29-2007, 10:29 PM

turn bet?

i dont see a reason to shove the river.

luckybacon · #7 04-29-2007, 10:32 PM

[ QUOTE ]
turn bet?

i dont see a reason to shove the river.

[/ QUOTE ]

um.. for value.

thesecondnuts · #8 04-29-2007, 10:45 PM

[ QUOTE ]
um.. for value.

[/ QUOTE ]

and cause it's fun [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Rolon · #9 04-29-2007, 10:55 PM

Bet that turn 100% of the time. Shove that river 100% of the time. If you is a calling station you are way ahead here most of the time.

J. Stew · #10 04-29-2007, 11:10 PM

yeah ok junky two pair is in his range.