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#1
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1) Ive played about 200 $16 turbo SnGs and have a ROI of 21%. How close is this likely to be to my real ROI and how many games does it take before varience starts to calm down?
2) My pokertracker says I have an overall ROI of 23%. Sharkscope says I have an ROI of 9%. Whats up with that. I did play about 30 MTTs with -ROI before I started playing SnGs but surely one oft these figures must be wrong. Is Sharkscope unaccurate? |
#2
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1) The varience doesn't calm down.
2) Sharkscope may be including games that you don't have in your Pokertracker database. Look at the number of tourneys played. |
#3
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Regarding 2), it's more likely an error on your side
- did you filter sharkscope results properly? - did you filter PT results, and also did you import everything properly? |
#4
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You're ROI is likely nowhere near 21%, you'll have a better idea around 1000 games but even that might not be right.
Sharkscope is extremely accurate, over thousands of games for me it has maybe missed 1 or 2 (and it doesn't include MTTs). |
#5
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sharkscope misses like 5% of my games, it's not _super_ accurate.
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#6
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[ QUOTE ]
sharkscope misses like 5% of my games, it's not _super_ accurate. [/ QUOTE ] this is incorrect. it missed around 1-1.5% of games in my experience. |
#7
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1) if you're asking this question, you don't have a 20% real ROI. 200 is pretty small, it'll only take a few bad sets to knock 20% down real fast. 20% is in the upper tier of players in the 16s.
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#8
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[ QUOTE ]
1) Ive played about 200 $16 turbo SnGs and have a ROI of 21%. How close is this likely to be to my real ROI and how many games does it take before varience starts to calm down? 2) My pokertracker says I have an overall ROI of 23%. Sharkscope says I have an ROI of 9%. Whats up with that. I did play about 30 MTTs with -ROI before I started playing SnGs but surely one oft these figures must be wrong. Is Sharkscope unaccurate? [/ QUOTE ] Sounds like you have not experienced variance yet. Most solid players experience somewhat regular downswings of 25+- buy-ins. They are not predictable or controllable. I have several every year (I sometimes find some leaks too, but a lot is also out of my control). See what your ROI is after 1000 games. Sharkscope seems pretty accurate to me. I only use the 5 free/day. I believe it captures all tournament results. On the free version there is a line graph that provides your ROI by similar buy-in. The initial ROI that pops up is combined for all of your tournaments, I believe. |
#9
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[ QUOTE ]
1) Ive played about 200 $16 turbo SnGs and have a ROI of 21%. [/ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Sounds like you have not experienced variance yet. [/ QUOTE ] I respectfully disagree. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img] |
#10
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] 1) Ive played about 200 $16 turbo SnGs and have a ROI of 21%. [/ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Sounds like you have not experienced variance yet. [/ QUOTE ] I respectfully disagree. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] You haven't experienced it yet. Hell, you can't even spell variance yet. |
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