AK, std shove?

[The.Accountant]

Against a 27/0/.2 (11) ?

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $288.35
UTG+1: $251.85
CO: $186
Button: $78.75
SB: $29
Hero: $429.25

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
2 folds, CO calls, Button calls, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $10</font>, CO calls, Button calls.

Flop: 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($31, 4 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $20</font>, <font color="#cc0000">CO raises to $50</font>, Button folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises all-in $419.25</font>,

[willw9]

Looks good, although I would make a smaller reraise. Make it $125, call a shove.

[loosbastard]

[ QUOTE ]
Looks good, although I would make a smaller reraise. Make it $125, call a shove.

[/ QUOTE ]

Eh either way is probably fine.

Board: 9d Td 2d
Dead:

Hand 0: 53.417% 53.42% 00.00% { AdKs }
Hand 1: 46.583% 46.58% 00.00% { TT-99, 22, QJs, T9s, 7d6d, KdTc, KdTh, KdTs, QcJd, QdJc, T9o, 65o }

I added 56o to include some random bluffs. W/ the money already in the pot it's probably still slightly +EV, but if he's never bluffing here things start to look a little worse. I say flip a coin....heads you shove, tails you fold.

[2218]

I think this post might be a little bit more interesting than the credit it's given. If Villain was 27/0/0.2 over 100 hands, I think this would be a fold. So how accuarte is 11 hands?

Eleven hands means that this person has limp/called/completed 3 hands and, in all likelihood, out of those 3 hands, has bet once postflop and called 5 times. That's a pretty good indication of passivity.

Further, this person has only played 3 of 11 hands, so s/he's no maniac and will probably show a decent hand range. So how likely is an at least partially aggressive person going to play this passively over 11 hands and not have a strong hand here?

I'm not saying that pushing here is outright bad, but on how many hands should we draw the line exactly?

[loosbastard]

[ QUOTE ]
I think this post might be a little bit more interesting than the credit it's given. If Villain was 27/0/0.2 over 100 hands, I think this would be a fold. So how accuarte is 11 hands?

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree. At first I just skimmed it over and thought "omg...shove all day". Now that I think about it...it's really a lot closer than it seems. If villain is even slightly sane...we're not in great shape here.

[ev.]

how do you play AdKd here?

[The.Accountant]

the same?

[Ra_]

[ QUOTE ]
I think this post might be a little bit more interesting than the credit it's given. If Villain was 27/0/0.2 over 100 hands, I think this would be a fold. So how accuarte is 11 hands?

[/ QUOTE ]

no matter his stats you have great immediate odds to the nuts, can you really fold?

[The White Rabbit]

Ignore stats over 11 hands. Pot monotone flops. Shove should be standard here {AdX, sets, made flushes}, fold everything else, although I'm not sure about T9.

[MatthewRyan]

Looks standard