#1
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Flop Top 2 Against a Regular in raised pot
Raiser is 46/11/2.11 over 100 hands
Main antagonist is 15/ 12/ 3 over many hands. Willing to felt it beating aces? PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) Button ($465.10) SB ($510.65) Hero ($238.70) UTG ($197.35) UTG+1 ($128.15) MP1 ($205) MP2 ($44) MP3 ($253.90) CO ($160) Preflop: Hero is BB with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. CO posts a blind of $2. <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP3 raises to $6</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, SB calls $5, Hero calls $4. Flop: ($20) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> SB checks, Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP3 bets $6</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $14</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $48</font>, MP3 folds, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $504.65</font>, Hero.... |
#2
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Re: Flop Top 2 Against a Regular in raised pot
Looks like SB has a set to me. I can't see anything else he plays this way unless he's gone nuts.
I can't call his push. |
#3
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Re: Flop Top 2 Against a Regular in raised pot
Set or a big draw. I think it's a fold as villain's stats are good.
12,870 games 0.005 secs 2,574,000 games/sec Board: Qs 4s Jd Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 78.182% 78.18% 00.00% 10062 0.00 { 44, KsTs, QJs, Ts9s, Ts8s, 9s8s, QJo } Hand 1: 21.818% 21.82% 00.00% 2808 0.00 { AcJc } |
#4
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Re: Flop Top 2 Against a Regular in raised pot
How likely is it that the SB is on a draw?
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#5
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Re: Flop Top 2 Against a Regular in raised pot
[ QUOTE ]
Set or a big draw. I think it's a fold as villain's stats are good. 12,870 games 0.005 secs 2,574,000 games/sec Board: Qs 4s Jd Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 78.182% 78.18% 00.00% 10062 0.00 { 44, KsTs, QJs, Ts9s, Ts8s, 9s8s, QJo } Hand 1: 21.818% 21.82% 00.00% 2808 0.00 { AcJc } [/ QUOTE ] Except for the fact OP has QJ not AJ. |
#6
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Re: Flop Top 2 Against a Regular in raised pot
Sorry.
Board: Qs 4s Jd Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 57.502% 39.73% 17.77% 4327 1935.00 { 44, KsTs, QJs, Ts9s, Ts8s, 9s8s, QJo } Hand 1: 42.498% 24.73% 17.77% 2693 1935.00 { QcJc } Probably still a fold as many of those hands that you have the best equity against will fold preflop. |
#7
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Re: Flop Top 2 Against a Regular in raised pot
[ QUOTE ]
Sorry. Board: Qs 4s Jd Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 57.502% 39.73% 17.77% 4327 1935.00 { 44, KsTs, QJs, Ts9s, Ts8s, 9s8s, QJo } Hand 1: 42.498% 24.73% 17.77% 2693 1935.00 { QcJc } Probably still a fold as many of those hands that you have the best equity against will fold preflop. [/ QUOTE ] Throw AsJs in his range also. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] |
#8
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Re: Flop Top 2 Against a Regular in raised pot
I think a 46/11 definitely has J4 and Q4 in his range. QQ/JJ would have reraised pf. Only thing that beats you is 44 and you have outs against that. I can't fold here
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#9
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Re: Flop Top 2 Against a Regular in raised pot
It's not the 46/11 we're up against I think. I'd snapcall a 46/11.
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#10
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Re: Flop Top 2 Against a Regular in raised pot
[ QUOTE ]
I think a 46/11 definitely has J4 and Q4 in his range. QQ/JJ would have reraised pf. Only thing that beats you is 44 and you have outs against that. I can't fold here [/ QUOTE ] You can't completely discount QQ/JJ. THere are lots of people with his stats that won't 3bet anything but AA/KK |
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